Down to the Wire: The Tout Wars AL Pennant Race

Joe Sheehan, down many points but with a glint of hope, wrote:

What has to go right for you to win?

 I have to, at minimum, steal points from Larry where I’m directly behind him — WHIP (I trail by .012) and runs (I trail by 19). That means getting a couple of starts from Felix Hernandez, it means maximizing playing time that last week. Honestly, I need Larry to have another bad week, and there aren’t that many places for him to lose points with a week to go.

 What could go wrong that would cause you to lose?

 Lack of save opportunities. I can make up ground if Frieri, Balfour and Rivera can finish big.

Larry Schechter wasn’t taking anything for granted:

As I write this, I’m ahead by 12 points with 11 days to go. Not much has to go right for me to win, I just need to avoid an epic collapse. It’s not over, because Joe Sheehan (and possibly even Wolf/Colton) theoretically could win. There are enough points they can gain, and I can lose, in the various categories, that it could happen. But it’s highly unlikely, almost everything would have to be great for one of them and everything awful for me, in almost every category, for the last 11 days.

But being a Red Sox fan, and having watched their collapse two September’s ago, I’m not celebrating anything yet.