Tout Table: Panning for Prospect Gold

Tout Wars has some of the top minds when it comes to following the minor leagues. This week we asked

What prospects had their short and long term outlooks change the most after the deadline deals?

Doug Dennis (BaseballHQ, @dougdennis41): Maybe it is because I am a Reds homer, but I think the Reds will give Spencer Steer every chance to make the team in 2023 and that almost certainly would not have been the case in Minnesota. What Steer does with the opportunities, unknown, but it’s a real shot for him.

Brad Johnson (Patreon/BaseballATeam, @BaseballATeam): I like the Steer call out. Sticking with the Reds, Jose Barrero is just about out of time to make an impression in Cincy. Between Elly de la Cruz, Noelvi Marte, and Matt McLain, *somebody* is going to be knocking on the door by late 2023. And Edwin Arroyo isn’t too far behind them. It’s a real embarrassment of shortstop riches. These things have a way of working out over time. Barrero hasn’t shown much of a pulse this season.

Tim McLeod (, @RunTMcP361 ): Search out players that were blocked prior to the deadline that no longer are. Three that I’m very bullish on for the stretch run are Michael Massey, Jake McCarthy, and Ryan Pepiot. Massey has demonstrated solid strike zone judgement with decent pop and speed at every level in the Minors. McCarthy slides into David Peralta’s spot and that speed could make a difference. Pepiot no longer has to worry about Mitch White and should slide into Clayton Kershaw’s rotation spot. His numbers down-on-the-farm are off-the-charts good. All that was missing was the opportunity and it’s now at-hand. As an add, I’d take a look at two Oakland starters in JP Sears and Ken Waldichuk. Montas is now a Yankee and there are more holes in the Oakland rotation than a block of swiss cheese. We could see both plying their trade in Oakland before the season concludes.

James Anderson (Rotowire, @RealJRAnderson): For me it’s the players who went from being pretty clearly blocked to unblocked. All the Yankees pitching prospects who were dealt now have a clearer path into a big-league rotation (I’d rank them Wesneski, Waldichuk, Sikemma, Sears). Additionally, the top two Twins position players (Encarnacion-Strand and Steer) who are nearing the majors now have a clear path into the Reds lineup when they’re deemed ready. Bonus: I liked Robert Gasser but like him even more now that the Brewers get to put the finishing touches on his development.

Patrick Davitt (BaseballHQ, @patrickdavitt): You probably look at all the rated prospects who went from contenders to pretenders, because by definition the paths to the big leagues have fewer obstacles on the latter. For example, Logan O’Hoppe is obviously less blocked by Max Stassi and Kurt Suzuki than by JT Realmuto. Steer got a couple of mentions, , and that seems right; even if he’s blocked by Barrero (jury’s still out), he can play lots of spots defenisvely and the Reds need help at most of them. I saw mentions of pitchers Waldichuk (OAK) and Wesneski (CHC), both of whom also get a boost from the lack of obstacles en route to The Show. And don’t forget that the prospects below these guys in their orgs benefit from the departures, just as prospects on the acquiring teams might move down a peg or two.

Chris Blessing (Baseball HQ, @C_Blessing): When most prospects are traded at the deadline, their development outcome is negatively affected, moving from a winning organization excelling at developing their prospects to an organization that isn’t successful developing their prospects. Sometimes, the stars align and a prospect goes to an organization where the player and the development staff seem to be a match made in heaven. The match made in heaven scenario for me is LHP Robert Gasser to the Brewers. Here is an organization who has successfully molded pitchers of different shapes, different deliveries and different attributes and turned them into solid or better pitchers. Gasser has a deceptive Low 3/4s delivery with a lot of funky stops and starts. Gasser’s best when commanding his high-80s-to-low-90s FB up, taking advantage of a flatten plane and riding action up. Scouting Gasser, it’s a matter of improving his in-zone command, which the Brewers do better than most getting out of their prospects. Gasser goes from an SP5 upside to a mid-rotation ceiling simply moving to a better development situation for him.

Tristan H. Cockcroft (ESPN, @SultanofStat): Ken Waldichuk probably stands a better long-term chance at success in Oakland than in New York, considering he’s a bit of a fly ball-oriented pitcher who gets a decent share of pop-ups, traits that fit the Oakland Coliseum much better than Yankee Stadium. C.J. Abrams almost assuredly will take over shortstop on an everyday basis in Washington sooner than he might have in San Diego, where it wasn’t entirely clear he’d stick at that position.

Joe Sheehan (The Joe Sheehan Baseball Newsletter, @joe_sheehan): I think about the three guys the Yankees sent to the Royals, three middling pitching prospects with low profiles. They’re the kind of pitchers the Yankees have had great success with, and in their organization, they had a strong chance to be developed into, at least, MLB-caliber relievers. Now, they’re Royals prospects, about as far you can fall when it comes to modern practices of pitcher development. I think those three guys were the three biggest losers at the deadline.

Tout Wars FAB Report: Week of August 15

After a couple weeks of emptying the FAB wallets, bidding was a bit more conservative, though NL only had some aggressive claims.

To see rosters, standings and all the moves from each Tout league, just click in the league header.

American League

Player Team Bid
KBradish, Bal Ryan Bloomfield 43
KBubic, KC Ryan Bloomfield 29
JSears, Oak Patrick Davitt 29
NEaton, KC Patrick Davitt 19
FMejia, TB Patrick Davitt 14
SEffross, NYY Jeff Erickson 13
JQuijada, LAA Jeff Erickson 13
TDavidson, LAA Rick Wolf/Glenn Colton 9
AEngel, CWS Jason Collette 3
LSosa, CWS Rick Wolf/Glenn Colton 0
MMaldonado, Hou Mike Podhorzer 0

National League

Player Team Bid
VGrissom, Atl Wilderman/Prior 270
FReyes, ChC Grey Albright 109
JMeneses, Was Steve Gardner 92
CEdwards, Was Wilderman/Prior 80
CLeblanc, Mia Todd Zola 67
IAnderson, Atl Phil Hertz 51
ASampson, ChC Todd Zola 37
PBurdick, Mia Phil Hertz 22
LWilliams, Mia Peter Kreutzer 14
MBush, Mil Peter Kreutzer 8
THenry, Ari Phil Hertz 6
AWynns, SF Steve Gardner 2
PCorbin, Was Derek Carty 0
ZThompson, Pit Derek Carty 0
DNunez, Col Phil Hertz 0
CFerguson, LAD Brian Walton 0

Mixed Salary Cap

Player Team Bid
VGrissom, Atl Brent Hershey 87
GAllen, Pit Scott Pianowski 55
CEdwards, Was Scott Pianowski 55
JSiri, TB Scott Engel 37
JSears, Oak Tim Heaney 36
RTepera, LAA Zach Steinhorn 32
JSuarez, LAA Brent Hershey 26
MMargot, TB Justin Mason 20
MStassi, LAA Zach Steinhorn 18
KBubic, KC Brent Hershey 17
JBleday, Mia Justin Mason 17
JMeneses, Was Justin Mason 7
TToussaint, LAA Jeff Zimmerman 6
YDiaz, TB Brent Hershey 3
JDDavis, SF Justin Mason 2
HCastro, Det Jeff Zimmerman 2
JQuijada, LAA Jeff Zimmerman 2

Mixed Draft

Player Team Bid
VGrissom, Atl D.J. Short 155
TNaquin, NYM Adam Ronis 44
JMeneses, Was Adam Ronis 44
JSears, Oak Adam Ronis 38
LWade, SF Tim McLeod 17
ZPlesac, Cle Shelly Verougstraete 13
JTrevino, NYY Mike Gianella 6
GMarquez, Col Mike Gianella 5
CMorel, ChC Scott White 3
MManning, Det Shelly Verougstraete 1
SEffross, NYY Scott White 0

Head to Head

Player Team Bid
VGrissom, Atl Clay Link 287
AChapman, NYY Clay Link 57
TGrisham, SD Ariel Cohen 33
SDominguez, Phi Ariel Cohen 33
DPeralta, TB Chris Welsh 31
CAbrams, Was Frank Stampfl 28
PDeJong, StL Nick Pollack 19
RWick, ChC Ryan Hallam 13
DSmyly, ChC Nick Pollack 11
DFletcher, LAA Nick Pollack 7
DKremer, Bal Paul Sporer 3
JMeneses, Was Greg Jewett 3

Mixed with IP & Saves+Holds

Player Team Bid
DMay, LAD Sara Sanchez 138
NLopez, KC Chris Clegg 23
LNootbaar, StL Chris Clegg 16
APuk, Oak Chris Clegg 12
JMeneses, Was Jake Ciely 3
ERivera, Ari Jake Ciely 1
VGrissom, Atl Jeff Boggis 0
WBernard, Col Jeff Boggis 0
JSteele, ChC Andy Behrens 0
KBubic, KC Jake Ciely 0
JQuintana, StL Jeff Boggis 0

Tout Table: Frenzy Fallout

As is the tradition in the Table following the trade deadline, the Touts were asked

What are some of the most fantasy-relevant under-the-radar repercussions of the deadline frenzy?

Jeff Zimmerman (Fangraphs, The Process, @jeffwzimmerman): The Reds traded away several pieces so track who of Aristides Aquino, Matt Reynolds, Albert Almora Jr., Jake Fraley, and Donovan Solano grab the most playing time.

Todd Zola (Mastersball, @toddzola): Single league formats have gotten away from hoarding for the deadline. I wonder if that may return after a decent level of crossover, with the notion it will continue with the new playoff format.

Steve Gardner (USAToday Fantasy Sports, @SteveAGardner): To play devil’s advocate, I didn’t think there was much value in the league-switchers this year. Luis Castillo to the AL was maybe the only impact move, and if you passed on him last week hoping for something bigger, you ended up watching Juan Soto stay in the NL and Willson Contreras stay in Chicago. On the NL side, Jordan Montgomery, Noah Syndergaard and Jake Odorizzi? Meh. I’ll still continue to save my FAAB for the big splash in mono-league formats, but last year’s deadline was much more fun.

Justin Mason (Friends with Fantasy Benefits, Fangraphs, Fantasy Alarm, @JustinMasonFWFB): In mixed leagues, the massive changes in closer values for some fantasy teams are disastrous. If you draft Iglesias in the third round, you are devastated right now (slowly raises hand.)

Matt Williams (, @MattWi77iams): Honestly, I think an under-the-radar takeaway is that no significant names (other than closers) change in value much. The real value is in vacated at-bats and available innings for lower end players. Time to study new lineups going forward and see who benefits.

Paul Sporer (Fangraphs, ESPN Fantasy Sports, @Sporer): Given how barren waiver wires have been for SPs in deeper formats (14+ team mixers), JP Sears could be a gem down the stretch. While we’ve only seen an 8% SwStr in the majors, he missed bats w/his slider throughout the minors so I expect more Ks as he settles into the majors. OAK is always a great spot to pitch, too!

Todd Zola (Mastersball, @toddzola): Steve – Tyler Mahle should be a nice consolation for AL only. It isn’t so much the number of crossovers, as it is the sheer number of trades, more of which may be crossovers. That said, I am still spending liberally early, since the counter is more minor league players are being promoted earlier.

Brad Johnson (Patreon/BaseballATeam, @BaseballATeam): I’ll reach deep for the hell of it. Josh Palacios has an interesting, possibly five-category profile. It’s also a 0-2 WAR profile which is why he hasn’t had chances any sooner. With Juan Soto gone, he should play daily for the Nationals. Of course, that’s only of use to those of us in deep leagues.

Sara Sanchez (, @BCB_Sara): I mean, I don’t know if this is underrated, but as someone who has Whit Merrifield in a couple of places, I am really hoping he gets that vaccination status cleared up before 8/12 when the Blue Jays play in Toronto. On the more underrated side, I am going to be paying a lot of attention to the Padres line ups in the coming days to keep an eye on Drury’s playing time. I’m looking for pitching in a few leauges, so I’m also going to speculate a bit on who will get the fifth starter spot in NY with Montgomery moving to St. Louis, and will be keeping an eye on starters in Oakland and Cincinatti looking for useful starters and/or guys with enough innings/Ks to be useful for the last couple of months.

Doug Dennis (BaseballHQ, @dougdennis41): Starting pitchers–gimme Jordan Montgomery and Jake Odorizzi in the NL and Tyler Mahle and J.P. Sears in the AL. Closers–gimme Felix Bautista and Jose Quijada in the AL and in the NL, I’m back on Anthony Bender and Rowan Wi . . . hahaha nope, can’t do it, sorry Sara. But hey, Willson stayed home!

Doug Dennis (BaseballHQ, @dougdennis41): Under the radar = the minor leaguers that are going to get promoted and may immediately be handed a starting role. While the majority will be worth adding in mono leagues, some of them may even be worthy of consideration in shallower mixed leagues.

Alex Fast (Pitcher List, @AlexFast8): The closers! There is an assortment of relievers that just turned into closers that you can pick up off of your waiver wire. Thinking of guys like Felix Bautista, Ryan Tepera, Rowan Wick, etc. Don’t be fooled by what team they’re on, either; they’ll still get plenty of save opportunities. Focus more on guys who have the best stuff and you’ll be just fine.

Lenny Melnick (LennyMelnickFantasySports, @LennyMelnick): Dont save FAAB for Trading Deadline

Phil Hertz (BaseballHQ, @prhz50): Doug D nailed it, but in particular pay attention to the Nationals. Someone(s) is/are going to get plenty of playing time over the next several weeks.

Michael A. Stein (Fantasy Judgment, @FantasyJudgment): The carousel of closers continues to spin at the trade deadline. An already volatile category opens up more options for saves with teams trading closers that may not have opportunities to save games on their new teams. Obviously the teams trading away their closers will give chances to set-up relievers that may be on the waiver wire. Also for NL-only or AL-only leagues, there could be bidding wars for players newly eligible that were traded.

Anthony Aniano (Rotoballer, @AAnianoFantasy): Lots of playing time has opened up for teams like the Reds, Nationals and A’s but I am paying attention to the A’s starting staff. Ken Waldichuk is now the team’s top rated prospect. For the Yankees AAA team he averaged 13.22 K/9 with a 3.59 ERA. I’d love to see him get a few starts for the A’s.

Ariel Cohen (CBS Sports, @ATCNY): Always look at closing situations. Tepera in LAA? Wick in CHI? Bautista in BAL? Williams in MIL? etc. As for some other under the radar players … Mickey Moniak should get playing time with the Marsh trade and Trout injury right away. JP Sears should start right away in OAK in place of the traded Montas. The best place for value is in increased playing time, and those are likely right off the bat.

Scott White (CBS Fantasy Sports, @CBSScottWhite): Statcast says that if Trey Mancini had played all his games at Minute Maid Park this year, he’d have 22 home runs as opposed to the 10 he actually has. The difference between the newly altered left field fence in Baltimore and the Crawford Boxes in Houston is literally dozens of feet, plural. As usual, the Astros know what they’re doing.

Brent Hershey (Baseball HQ, @BrentHQ): The Astros still believe in Jake Meyers. Traded away Straw to clear space for him last year; Meyers was surprisingly fantasy relevant down the stretch. Despite Meyers’ slow return from injury, HOU didn’t complete any sort of upgrade in CF this year and even traded away Jose Siri. Might be nothing; might be something.

Jennifer Piacenti (, @jenpiacenti): Sadly, Brent. I think it’s nothing. Though maybe that’s just the pessimistic fan in me. I hope it’s something! I like the Mancini grab for Houston as today we already saw one leave the yard that wouldn’t have in Camden. Brantley isn’t even swinging a bat, so I think Mancini will also get turns in OF with perhaps Tucker moving to CF like he did in postseason. I also like Jordan Montogmery in St. Louis. Let’s be real: most pitchers are better after leaving Yankee Stadium. Devin Williams is now really interesting, and I’m going to say it: I like Eric Hosmer in Boston.

Jason Collette (Rotowire, @jasoncollette): Jose Siri is going to get all the playing time his bat can handle. They need his defensive abilities in center, and Cash will let him run on the bases if Siri can manage to get on base. He could steal 10 bases ROS and is already hitting in the middle of a thin lineup.

Charlie Wiegert (CDM Sports, @GFFantasySports): Obviously there are closers to be had with others traded away, so you can get 10 saves fairly easily if you’ve saved some faab or get lucky on the waiver wire…Bautista in Baltimore, Wick in Chicago, in LAA someone emerge, etc. remember what Lester and Happ did in St. Louis last year? Quintana and Montgomery will be better than they were last year, leading Cards to Central Division Championship

Glenn Colton (Fantasy Alarm, @GlennColton1): Not enough focus on who was not traded but now has a bigger role. Closers are more obvious when they step in for a departed closer. It is so critically important to watch lineups from Thursday to Sunday — days where players traveling to their new teams or up from the minors are all in place.

Frank Stampfl (Fantasy Pros, @Roto_Frank): I’m very intrigued by the Royals calling up prospect Michael Massey after trading away Whit Merrifield. Massey was batting .312 with 16 HR and 13 steals across 87 games between Double-A and Triple-A this season and could be an interesting power-speed combo in deeper leagues.

Scott Swanay (FantasyBaseballSherpa, @fantasy_sherpa): If you’re desperate for Wins (and who isn’t), I think Jordan Montgomery and Jose Quintana, who both get to face 3 NL Central doormat teams, are appealing targets who probably wouldn’t cost a ton to acquire.

Clay Link (Rotowire, @claywlink): Miguel Vargas’ addition to the Dodgers. They selected his contract — added him to the 40-man — to lengthen the lineup, as they are now feeling the heat a bit from the Padres. The back of the Dodgers’ order is a little thin and could leave them susceptible to the Padres in the postseason, so I think they want Vargas to take the job and run with it and get into a groove before the playoffs.

Nick Pollack (Pitcher List, @PitcherList): In deeper leagues, I’m curious what Tucker Davidson does with his opportunity in Los Angeles as a regular starter. He’s been able to find a rhythm during his chances in Atlanta and there could be some sneaky streams to be had.

Brian Entrekin (Benched with Bubba, @bdentrek): Seeing the closing landscape open up some more solid options. Felix Bautista & Devin Williams could be elite. Rowan Wick may get some chances as well as maybe Ryan Tepera. On the flip side seeing Raisel Iglesias’s value disappear.

Derek VanRiper (The Athletic, @DerekVanRiper): Can Josh Palacios be the Rafael Ortega of 2022?

Shelly Verougstraete (Dynasty Guru, @ShellyV_643): Is Zach McKinstry going to cut into Christopher Morel’s playing time? I’m in agreement with Frank. Michael Massey dealt with injuries since being drafted but was destroying the minor leagues before his call up. There is pleny of PT in KC with Whit out of the picture.

Jeff Boggis (Fantasy Football Empire, @JeffBoggis): The trading of Trey Mancini from Baltimore to Houston was very intriguing to me. Mancini needed a change in scenery and so far it appears that Houston is a good fit. Trey Mancini’s first three hits with the team since arriving at the MLB Trade Deadline have all been home runs, including a monster grand slam on Friday night.

Greg Jewett (Fantasy Alarm, @gjewett9): Many save situations went through turnovers in their leverage ladders, Félix Bautista and Devin Williams receive a big boost in fantasy value. However, Ian Kennedy, Erik Swanson, Rowan Wick and Jonathan Hernández also could receive ancillary, or larger save shares. Last, maybe Colorado provides Elehuris Montero a clear path towards plate appearances the rest of the season. Trusting the Rockies with doing the right thing comes with inherent risk, but there’s some power potential for those needing it in his bat.

Tout Wars FAB Report: Week of August 8

It took a while to get going, but the deadline frenzy availed some useful crossover players for AL and NL only along with shuffling rosters enough so there were some mixed league repercussions as well.

If you want to check out the complete standings, rosters and transactions for any of the Tout leagues, just click in the league header.

American League

Player Team Bid
TMahle, Min Joe Sheehan 605
EHosmer, Bos Jeff Erickson 566
JSiri, TB Jason Collette 555
BThompson, Tex Rick Wolf/Glenn Colton 102
HBader, NYY Howard Bender 102
MMargot, TB Patrick Davitt 79
MMassey, KC Larry Schechter 60
JLamb, Sea Doug Dennis 41
CRagans, Tex Chris Blessing 38
MFesta, Sea Doug Dennis 21
TVavra, Bal Larry Schechter 15
BBurke, Tex Joe Sheehan 7
JHerget, LAA Rick Wolf/Glenn Colton 5
TStephan, Cle Ryan Bloomfield 5
KPlawecki, Bos Larry Schechter 1
PMaton, Hou Chris Blessing 1
TAlexander, Det Larry Schechter 1
CCasali, Sea Jeff Erickson 0
PGosselin, LAA Rick Wolf/Glenn Colton 0

National League

Player Team Bid
JMontgomery, StL Brian Walton 589
NSyndergaard, Phi Steve Gardner 501
BMarsh, Phi Grey Albright 323
JOdorizzi, Atl Derek Carty 294
JGallo, LAD Tristan H. Cockcroft 238
ABender, Mia Wilderman/Prior 151
LNootbaar, StL Phil Hertz 91
DHudson, StL Peter Kreutzer 90
RGrossman, Atl Phil Hertz 84
NMadrigal, ChC Tristan H. Cockcroft 70
RIglesias, Atl Grey Albright 57
JDelay, Pit Todd Zola 47
JarGarcia, SF Todd Zola 17
JDunn, Cin Brian Walton 2
ERivera, Ari Phil Hertz 2
TMarcano, Pit Brian Walton 2
TNido, NYM Brian Walton 1
EMontero, Col Brian Walton 1
JPalacios, Was Brian Walton 1
BBoxberger, Mil Ian Kahn 1
DLee, Atl Derek Carty 0
BHamilton, Mia Wilderman/Prior 0

Mixed Salary Cap

Player Team Bid
FBautista, Bal Eric Karabell 100
JHernandez, Tex Scott Pianowski 61
LThomas, Was Scott Pianowski 44
MMassey, KC Michael Rathburn 32
JIglesias, Col Scott Pianowski 27
EMontero, Col Michael Rathburn 25
NLopez, KC Scott Pianowski 22
WBenson, Cle Michael Rathburn 22
RWick, ChC Justin Mason 22
CArcher, Min Brent Hershey 21
LGonzalez, SF Alex Chamberlain 15
VCaratini, Mil Brent Hershey 15
NGordon, Min Brent Hershey 14
BThompson, Tex Jeff Zimmerman 12
JMcCann, NYM Zach Steinhorn 12
MManning, Det Derek VanRiper 11
MFesta, Sea Alex Chamberlain 10
ZJackson, Oak Eric Karabell 10
WCrowe, Pit Scott Engel 6
CPoche, TB Scott Engel 3
TNaquin, NYM Scott Engel 3
JBarrero, Cin Derek VanRiper 1
DSmyly, ChC Jeff Zimmerman 1

Mixed Draft

Player Team Bid
BThompson, Tex Seth Trachtman 90
NGordon, Min Ray Murphy 65
KCrawford, Bos Anthony Perri 55
WCrowe, Pit Tim McLeod 52
EMontero, Col Rudy Gamble 47
RTepera, LAA Jeff Barton 43
JQuijada, LAA Tim McLeod 37
RWick, ChC Rudy Gamble 37
MMassey, KC Tim McLeod 33
TraThompson, LAD Anthony Perri 32
JDDavis, SF D.J. Short 25
GAshcraft, Cin Perry Van Hook 23
IKennedy, Ari Perry Van Hook 23
LNootbaar, StL D.J. Short 15
BGamel, Pit Perry Van Hook 11
EHosmer, Bos Jeff Barton 11
CArroyo, Bos Shelly Verougstraete 10
TVavra, Bal Adam Ronis 6
JSuarez, LAA Adam Ronis 3
TMarcano, Pit Shelly Verougstraete 2
VCaratini, Mil Perry Van Hook 1
ESwanson, Sea Scott White 0
CEdwards, Was Scott White 0

Head to Head

Player Team Bid
JBart, SF Geoff Pontes 98
JMcNeil, NYM Frank Stampfl 37
FBautista, Bal Greg Jewett 27
MMuncy, LAD Ryan Hallam 23
TAlexander, Det Ariel Cohen 23
JBarrero, Cin Clay Link 23
JSears, Oak Dan Strafford 10
JSuarez, LAA Dan Strafford 10
DDunning, Tex Greg Jewett 9
THouck, Bos Ryan Hallam 8
DVogelbach, NYM Dan Strafford 7
WCrowe, Pit Greg Jewett 3
NGordon, Min Greg Jewett 2

Mixed with IP & Saves+Holds

Player Team Bid
AFrazier, Sea Chris Clegg 17
KWong, Mil Chris Clegg 15
AHeaney, LAD Chris Towers 14
MMassey, KC Chris Towers 5
CIrvin, Oak Jake Ciely 2
KRuiz, Was Andy Behrens 0
ADiaz, Hou Jake Ciely 0
JLyles, Bal Jeff Boggis 0
NCruz, Was Jeff Boggis 0

Tout Table: Rebounding Pitchers

As we all prepare for the trade frenzy, the Touts were asked:

Who has the best chance of reverting to form, Lucas Giolito, Jose Berrios or Trevor Rogers?

(Please note, the question was posed prior to Rogers being placed on the IL)

CJ Kaltenbach (Fantasy Guru, @TheSeigeDFS): Lucas Giolito has the best chance to reverting to form mostly because his bad raw stats right now are thanks to a ton of bad BABIP luck (.349). Once that starts to turn around, he’ll have fewer runners on base which will help the walk rate and improve the strand rate. His xFIP right now is basically identical to 2021 (3.76 in 2022 vs 3.75 in 2021) so should be optimistic he turns it around soon.

Nick Pollack (Pitcher List, @PitcherList): It’s definitely not Trevor Rogers for me – he hasn’t had his changeup and slider working consistently since the start of last year – and it’s close between Lucas Giolito and José Berríos. The latter has been improving over the last month with his curveball and Berríos often finds a way to normalize across a full season. Meanwhile Giolito has now gone three starts hovering 92 mph. Without that strong fastball, Giolito’s struggles are likely to continue as it sets the foundation for his elite changeup.

Grey Albright (RazzBall, @razzball): Giolito

Fred Zinkie (Yahoo! Fantasy Sports, @FredZinkieMLB): Most are saying Giolito, so I will go in a different direction and take Berrios, who may have already started to turn things around by posting a 3.41 ERA and a 36:6 K:BB ratio in five July starts. That feels pretty much like what we expected of the right-hander at the start of the season.

Perry Van Hook (Mastersball, @): I would say Giolito is the best bet. He will have both good games and some not so good for the rest of the season but the upside is also the highest of the three

Charlie Wiegert (CDM Sports, @GFFantasySports): I’ll say Berrios. He has the skill set to rebound and has had some flashes of dominance recently. Working against him is the schedule and a heavy does of hitter heavy AL East teams.

Scott White (CBS Fantasy Sports, @CBSScottWhite): It kind of seems like Berrios already has with his strong month of July, so I’ll say him. I’m on the fence about Giolito. His xFIP is about the same as last year and his K/9 remains high, but his velocity, spin and whiffs are all down a bit. Those are generally the markers I look at when judging whether a pitcher has declined. As for Rogers, he turned back into a pumpkin even before the end of last year. We were basing a lot on three incredible months that are now far in the rearview mirror. I’ve been dumping him for 50 cents on the dollar even in dynasty leagues.

Seth Trachtman (NBC Sports Edge, @sethroto): Trevor Rogers still looks lost with his control, so this debate comes down to Giolito vs. Berrios. The peripherals show likely improvement for both pitchers, but the White Sox extremely favorable schedule the rest of the way gives Giolito a better chance to get on track. Giolito lines up against the likes of KC, Texas, and Detroit over his next three outings, and it’s hard to imagine an easier schedule than what the White Sox face in September. The team has a heavy dose of weak AL Central matchups, along with Oakland and Colorado (at home) sprinkled in. This seems like an obvious point, but Giolito’s ERA is nearly two runs better (4.20) with an 11.5 K/9 in games vs. sub-.500 teams this season. With the smaller sample size, schedule matters.

Eric Cross (Fantrax, @EricCross04): Can I say none? I’m fairly confident that we’ve probably seen the best season for each of these arms, but I do think that Giolito and Berrios are better than what they’ve shown. With Berrios, he was just always a bit overrated and now has to deal with the robust American League East on a regular basis. Many of Gioloto’s ERA indicators are much better than his surface stats, so he’s my pick here I suppose.

Vlad Sedler (FTNfantasy, @rotogut): Nice grouping here because the easy answer would be “trust none of them”. If I had to pick one to have the strongest rest-of-season, it would be Berrios. Strikeouts have been a boon and he’s cut his barrel rate in half lately (6% over his last six starts, 12.6% over his first 14 starts.

Brad Johnson (Patreon/BaseballATeam, @BaseballATeam): I’ll WAG Rogers since his issues seem to be mostly mechanical. Echoing sentiments from others, I wouldn’t bother trying to buy low on any of them.

Patrick Davitt (BaseballHQ, @patrickdavitt): Solely on a wishful-thinking basis, I’ll say Berrios

Dr. Roto (, @DrRoto): Torn here, so I will cop out and say both Giolito and Berrios will revert to form and Rogers will continue to struggle.

Paul Sporer (Fangraphs, ESPN Fantasy Sports, @Sporer): I’ll go Berrios as he’s shown more glimpses of his good self than the other two this year and has a longer history of success, too.

Alex Chamberlain (Rotographs, @DolphHauldhagen): Didn’t expect to say Berríos, but, Berríos, primarily because Rogers and Giolito are having pitch shape issues (CH and SL, respectively), whereas Berríos’ specs are largely unchanged. Not that pitch shapes are the be-all/end-all, but it helps explain why those pitches—and, thus, those pitchers—haven’t been successful. The question doesn’t specify reverting to form within 2022 or, like, ever, and I don’t think it’s off the table that Rogers and Gio find their CH and SL again. But I think Berríos has less to claw back this year than they do.

Jock Thompson (Baseball HQ, @JOCKatHQ): We’re in ride-the-hot-hand territory entering August. That would be Berrios.

Ron Shandler (, @RonShandler): If not for his last two starts, it would easily be Giolito. He still has the most upside but also the most risk. Berrios is the safest bet right now, but at a lower ceiling. Rogers’ ceiling is pretty much the floor for everyone else. PQS logs rule.

Howard Bender (Fantasy Alarm, @RotobuzzGuy): My ego says Giolito because I couldn’t possibly have picked a guy this crappy to win the Cy Young this year, but I’ll be sensible and lean Berrios who has, at least, flashed some talent this year.

Matt Williams (, @MattWi77iams): Berrios seems to not only have less issues to work through than the others, but already seems to have turned a corner in July. So I will go with Jose Berrios.

Phil Hertz (BaseballHQ, @prhz50): Not Rogers, probably not Giolito, since he’s been more of an innings eater of late. Berrios actually has been pretty good over the last month.

Sara Sanchez (, @BCB_Sara): I think I’m most optimistic about Giolito. He has the highest K%, lowest BB% and the best FIP/xFIP of the three. That said, I also think Berrios is probably going to be better rest of season and just picked him up in the 12-team mixed league where I need innings. I am not as optimistic about Rogers.

Brad Johnson (Patreon/BaseballATeam, @BaseballATeam): Rogers is on the IL with back spasms now so I rescind my WAG. Let’s say Berrios. Tough schedule though… I still prefer none of them.

Mike Podhorzer (Fangraphs, @MikePodhorzer): Giolito’s SIERA is a run and a half below his actual ERA, as he’s been BABIP’d to death. That can’t continue for much longer, especially given his history. He’s the easy call between the three, even though Berrios’ SIERA is also significantly below his ERA. However, Berrios’ strikeout rate has tumbled, so even an improved ERA could still result in disappointing fantasy value versus pre-season expectations.

Frank Stampfl (Fantasy Pros, @Roto_Frank): I have legitimate concerns over both Lucas Giolito and Jose Berrios but I think it’s more likely Berrios returns to form this season. He mostly looks like himself, albeit allowing a bunch of hard contact with a reduced swinging strike rate. Giolito just has so many things working against him right now from a velo dip to lack of control to home runs allowed. I almost wonder if Giolito isn’t right physically this season.

Zach Steinhorn (CreativeSports2, @zachsteinhorn): Maybe I’m biased because he’s on three of my teams and I’m desperately rooting for him to revert to form but I’ll say Berrios. The WHIP is still problematic but he’s pitching much better lately, allowing three runs or fewer in each of his last five starts with 36 strikeouts in 29 innings. With Berrios, at least we’re seeing clear signs of improvement. The same cannot be said for Giolito and Rogers.

Mike Sheets (ESPN, @MikeASheets): Give me Berrios, who has at least been showing some positive signs of late. With only two months left in the regular season, time is running out for a turnaround, so I’ll take the guy who has already been delivering some positive value over his last handful of starts.

Joe Sheehan (The Joe Sheehan Baseball Newsletter, @joe_sheehan): Rogers is the easy “no,” given that he has the shortest track record and there were mild indications that last year was a peak. Between the other two…I’ll take Berrios, because he’s already well on his way. 3.41 ERA/3.15 FIP in July, six QS in his last ten, and a seventh that missed by an out. I’ll bet on that for the next two months.

Greg Jewett (Fantasy Alarm, @gjewett9): Even before the start against the Tigers, I leaned towards Berrios on this one. Trust the Blue Jays getting him on track for the second half and helping fuel a strong push in the playoffs. Rogers landing on the injured list makes him the easy pass in this question and after having Giolito on multiple rosters last year, he was an avoid this season. This remains true.

Brian Entrekin (Benched with Bubba, @bdentrek): This is a tricky one. I lean Berrios who has shown signs of life of late, especially at home. The strikeouts have improved and he is keeping the ball in the ballpark. Can’t say the same for Giolito who struggles to get through five everyday and Rogers is so broken he is now on the IL. Give me Berrios, but it does not feel great.

Tout Wars FAB Report: Week of August 1

The calm before the storm? There was a little activity for AL only leagues and it was a busy week for the 15-team Mixed Auction and Draft leagues. Hopefully things will pick up before the 6 PM ET trade deadline on Tuesday.

If you want to check out the standings, rosters and all the moves for any of the Tout leagues, just click on the header.

American League

Player Team Bid
LCastillo, Sea Mike Podhorzer 940
DPeralta, TB Rob Leibowitz 687
LRaley, TB Patrick Davitt 49
JKaprielian, Oak Larry Schechter 23
YKikuchi, Tor Rick Wolf/Glenn Colton 19
MagSierra, LAA Howard Bender 12
RPinto, TB Larry Schechter 7
JJunk, LAA Jeff Erickson 7
AVoth, Bal Rick Wolf/Glenn Colton 6
MGarcia, KC Rick Wolf/Glenn Colton 6

National League

Player Team Bid
LGarcia, SD Ian Kahn 88
JMcCarthy, Ari Phil Hertz 66
NNeidert, Mia Todd Zola 23
CLeblanc, Mia Grey Albright 13
SAlcantara, Ari Michael Simione 9
LDiaz, Mia Peter Kreutzer 6
MVientos, NYM Grey Albright 3
MVargas, LAD Steve Gardner 3
ChMartin, LAD Peter Kreutzer 2
JOutman, LAD Tristan H. Cockcroft 1
HHarvey, Was Brian Walton 0
JStephens, Atl Brian Walton 0
ABarnes, LAD Steve Gardner 0

Mixed Salary Cap

Player Team Bid
YDeLosSantos, Pit Tim Heaney 46
DMay, LAD Scott Swanay 30
JCandelario, Det Scott Swanay 29
JMcCarthy, Ari Jeff Zimmerman 26
DRuf, SF Zach Steinhorn 26
JJunk, LAA CJ Kaltenbach 23
SWatkins, Bal CJ Kaltenbach 12
CAbrams, SD Brent Hershey 11
AVoth, Bal Derek VanRiper 11
ADiaz, Hou Scott Engel 7
PDeJong, StL CJ Kaltenbach 6
CMitchell, Pit Scott Engel 6
LGarcia, SD Scott Engel 6
JKelenic, Sea Justin Mason 5
BStott, Phi Tim Heaney 4
LNootbaar, StL Scott Engel 3
SHoward, Tex Brent Hershey 3
KIsbel, KC Derek VanRiper 3
BFalter, Phi Jeff Zimmerman 1
MMoore, Tex Scott Pianowski 0

Mixed Draft

Player Team Bid
FPeralta, Mil Adam Ronis 222
JKelenic, Sea Tim McCullough 221
PFairbanks, TB Seth Trachtman 110
APuk, Oak AJ Mass 100
LGarcia, SD Tim McLeod 83
JOutman, LAD Perry Van Hook 69
LDiaz, Mia Seth Trachtman 45
JSteele, ChC D.J. Short 30
ADiaz, Hou Tim McLeod 28
JHernandez, Tex Mike Gianella 20
JMcCarthy, Ari Rudy Gamble 18
BStott, Phi Ray Murphy 14
BDalbec, Bos Rudy Gamble 14
NVelazquez, ChC Shelly Verougstraete 12
KIsbel, KC Shelly Verougstraete 12
DSmyly, ChC Seth Trachtman 11
JMantiply, Ari Tim McLeod 9
PDeJong, StL Adam Ronis 8
MMoore, Tex Charlie Wiegert 5
TTaylor, Mil Adam Ronis 3
RYarbrough, TB Charlie Wiegert 2

Head to Head

Player Team Bid
KCrawford, Bos Ryan Hallam 53
APallante, StL Ryan Hallam 47
BFalter, Phi Dan Strafford 45
MGonzales, Sea Ariel Cohen 36
TanScott, Mia Ariel Cohen 36
JCandelario, Det Geoff Pontes 29
JOutman, LAD Ryan Hallam 21
MStassi, LAA Andrea LaMont 12
RGrichuk, Col Andrea LaMont 12
SDominguez, Phi Ryan Hallam 11
JMateo, Bal Frank Stampfl 7
ADiaz, Hou Greg Jewett 1
YGurriel, Hou Clay Link 0

Mixed with IP & Saves+Holds

Player Team Bid
JGKirby, Sea Sara Sanchez 64
DVogelbach, NYM Sara Sanchez 18
CSantana, Sea Chris Towers 14
FBautista, Bal Brian Entrekin 13
RSuarez, Phi Chris Towers 12
JCandelario, Det Brian Entrekin 12
ADiaz, Cin Brian Entrekin 6
SLangeliers, Oak Jake Ciely 1
LLynn, CWS Andy Behrens 0
ONarvaez, Mil Andy Behrens 0
SEffross, ChC Jake Ciely 0
JProfar, SD Jeff Boggis 0

Tout Wars FAB Report: Week of July 25

The calm before the storm. There will no doubt be some deals consummated this week in time for next Sunday’s July 31 FAB run, but there will be many more announced before Tuesday, but they won’t be available until Sunday, August 7.

If you want to check out the standings, roster and all the moves for any of the leagues, all you need to do is click on the league heading.

American League

Player Team Bid
NPratto, KC Doug Dennis 203
CPinder, Oak Ryan Bloomfield 42
ZJackson, Oak Larry Schechter 42
KCrawford, Bos Jason Collette 24
RMontero, Hou Patrick Davitt 19
YolmSanchez, Bos Jason Collette 17
CSchmidt, NYY Chris Blessing 13
SWatkins, Bal Jeff Erickson 13
CArcher, Min Howard Bender 8
RQuinn, TB Chris Blessing 7
EClement, Cle Howard Bender 4
BZimmer, Tor Ryan Bloomfield 4
JKelly, CWS Joe Sheehan 3
KLee, Hou Jeff Erickson 3
CChang, TB Jeff Erickson 3
JMatijevic, Hou Jeff Erickson 3
DHall, Bal Patrick Davitt 1
CCulberson, Tex Patrick Davitt 0

National League

Player Team Bid
JBleday, Mia Todd Zola 57
NVelazquez, ChC Todd Zola 53
MBrosseau, Mil Wilderman/Prior 14
JDelay, Pit Ian Kahn 13
DVillar, SF Phil Hertz 8
MPapierski, Cin Grey Albright 3
APujols, StL Wilderman/Prior 3
RCano, Atl Grey Albright 3
BFalter, Phi Derek Carty 2
ASampson, ChC Derek Carty 1
SEffross, ChC Peter Kreutzer 0
TGott, Mil Peter Kreutzer 0
AWynns, SF Steve Gardner 0

Mixed Salary Cap

Player Team Bid
JAdell, LAA CJ Kaltenbach 68
NPratto, KC Justin Mason 37
EPhillips, LAD Scott Swanay 28
DBundy, Min Bret Sayre 23
ZPlesac, Cle Doug Anderson 23
APollock, CWS Derek VanRiper 22
GUrshela, Min Brent Hershey 21
NMazara, SD Doug Anderson 17
BKeller, KC Brent Hershey 13
DMoore, Sea Scott Swanay 13
JQuintana, Pit Bret Sayre 12
SBrown, Oak Tim Heaney 11
KCrawford, Bos Jeff Zimmerman 11
BDalbec, Bos CJ Kaltenbach 8
SEffross, ChC Justin Mason 5
JBleday, Mia Jeff Zimmerman 2
ABaddoo, Det Derek VanRiper 2
EDuran, Tex Scott Engel 2
ZJackson, Oak Scott Engel 2
DPeralta, Ari Justin Mason 1

Mixed Draft

Player Team Bid
RSuarez, Phi Charlie Wiegert 62
MKeller, Pit Tim McLeod 34
HDozier, KC Jeff Barton 22
MFranco, Was Jeff Barton 22
LRengifo, LAA Rudy Gamble 17
ASlater, SF Rudy Gamble 12
EDuran, Tex Scott White 4
NPratto, KC Scott White 4
MStassi, LAA Adam Ronis 4
JBrubaker, Pit Adam Ronis 4
SHoward, Tex Shelly Verougstraete 1
JCandelario, Det Perry Van Hook 0

Head to Head

Player Team Bid
NHoerner, ChC Ariel Cohen 48
SWatkins, Bal Andrea LaMont 38
ASampson, ChC Ariel Cohen 32
JDuran, Min Ryan Hallam 31
JMiranda, Min Clay Link 29
RUrias, Bal Andrea LaMont 27
DGerman, NYY Frank Stampfl 27
TEstrada, SF Andrea LaMont 14
NPratto, KC Frank Stampfl 12
APollock, CWS Chris Welsh 10

Mixed with IP & Saves+Holds

Player Team Bid
MCarpenter, NYY Jeff Boggis 70
NPratto, KC Brian Entrekin 21
KCrawford, Bos Brian Entrekin 21
BRaley, TB Steve Phillips 20
JOdorizzi, Hou Steve Phillips 15
ASlater, SF Brian Entrekin 12
JJunis, SF Brian Entrekin 7
EHaase, Det Brian Entrekin 6
AHicks, NYY Brian Entrekin 6
JBart, SF Jake Ciely 2
RUrias, Bal Jake Ciely 2
IParedes, TB Sara Sanchez 2
BGarrett, Mia Jake Ciely 1

Tout Wars FAB Report: Post Break Edition

The calm before the storm? Bidding was sparse in every league as we come out of the break.

To check the standings, rosters and all the moves, click on the heading above each league.

American League

Player Team Bid
NSolak, Tex Rob Leibowitz 73
EHernandez, Tex Larry Schechter 47
JLeclerc, Tex Doug Dennis 16
VMachin, Oak Larry Schechter 12
JJimenez, Det Rick Wolf/Glenn Colton 2
PFairbanks, TB Mike Podhorzer 1
CHamilton, Min Larry Schechter 0

National League

Player Team Bid
JSegura, Phi Steve Gardner 49
JAlvarado, Phi Peter Kreutzer 28
YMercedes, SF Ian Kahn 21
ABarnes, LAD Grey Albright 7
SFairchild, Cin Grey Albright 3
SCishek, Was Phil Hertz 2
CMitchell, Pit Phil Hertz 0

Mixed Salary Cap

Player Team Bid
JOdorizzi, Hou Zach Steinhorn 78
ASlater, SF Scott Pianowski 44
GHenderson, Bal Bret Sayre 44
RUrias, Bal Scott Engel 32
KFinnegan, Was Tim Heaney 23
DVillar, SF Scott Pianowski 22
SHaggerty, Sea Scott Engel 15
APuk, Oak Scott Pianowski 11
ADiaz, Cin Justin Mason 7
CBethancourt, TB Brent Hershey 5
LRengifo, LAA Jeff Zimmerman 1
JBrubaker, Pit Jeff Zimmerman 1
RStanek, Hou Scott Swanay 0
ANola, SD Bret Sayre 0

Mixed Draft

Player Team Bid
MMeyer, Mia Mike Gianella 83
MCarpenter, NYY Mike Gianella 77
AMunoz, Sea Tim McCullough 51
LTaveras, Tex Mike Gianella 44
BGarrett, Mia Shelly Verougstraete 32
EHaase, Det Jeff Barton 31
KWaldichuk, NYY Tim McLeod 27
YDeLosSantos, Pit Tim McLeod 19
ABaddoo, Det Adam Ronis 12
JAdam, TB Scott White 6
BRaley, TB Scott White 4
RUrias, Bal Adam Ronis 4
JBart, SF Mike Gianella 4
JPaxton, Bos Seth Trachtman 3
MMaldonado, Hou Scott White 0
KFinnegan, Was Adam Ronis 0

Head to Head

Player Team Bid
MMeyer, Mia Dan Strafford 95
MCarpenter, NYY Nick Pollack 61
JBrubaker, Pit Ariel Cohen 44
JMcNeil, NYM Ariel Cohen 23
LTaveras, Tex Greg Jewett 18
BGarrett, Mia Greg Jewett 18
BBelt, SF Greg Jewett 15
JBart, SF Nick Pollack 7
MMaldonado, Hou Nick Pollack 7
CKelly, Ari Ariel Cohen 4

Mixed with IP & Saves+Holds

Player Team Bid
ERuiz, SD Matt Truss 181
TyAnderson, LAD Sara Sanchez 77
JBerrios, Tor Sara Sanchez 67
AMunoz, Sea Chris Clegg 8
MMeyer, Mia Jake Ciely 8
KCalhoun, Tex Jeff Boggis 2
JBrubaker, Pit Jeff Boggis 1
KFarmer, Cin Jeff Boggis 1
DPeterson, NYM Jeff Boggis 1
SEspinal, Tor Jeff Boggis 1
LTaveras, Tex Andy Behrens 0