Tout Wars FAB Report: Week of September 26

Tout Wars considers the tacked on final series of the year to be its own week, so there will be one more FAB run next Sunday.

The leagues are still active, in part to make sure the participants finish about a cutoff, or else FAAB is deducted from next season’s 1000 starting points. The targets are 60 points for the 12-team leagues and 75-points for the 15-team leagues. For every point under the target, the Tout will lose $10 FAB.

To check out where your favorite Tout is in their league, just click on the league header. You can also see all of the rosters and league transactions.

American League

Player Team Bid
EPagan, Min Doug Dennis 75
CHolmes, NYY Rick Wolf/Glenn Colton 42
JWentz, Det Jason Collette 1
MMastrobuoni, TB Jason Collette 0
LSoto, LAA Rob Leibowitz 0
WBrennan, Cle Rick Wolf/Glenn Colton 0
MThaiss, LAA Mike Podhorzer 0
CCapel, Oak Mike Podhorzer 0

National League

Player Team Bid
JBae, Pit Ian Kahn 67
ETovar, Col Tristan H. Cockcroft 21
JAlvarado, Phi Peter Kreutzer 13
MLeiter, ChC Peter Kreutzer 13
BElder, Atl Steve Gardner 12
DBote, ChC Derek Carty 11
MGrove, LAD Tristan H. Cockcroft 8
TGore, NYM Peter Kreutzer 7
ChMartin, LAD Ian Kahn 5
RMoronta, Ari Phil Hertz 4
PBickford, LAD Ian Kahn 2
HMilner, Mil Ian Kahn 1
JDelay, Pit Brian Walton 0
JUrena, Col Phil Hertz 0

Mixed Salary Cap

Player Team Bid
NEaton, KC Scott Pianowski 56
MManning, Det Zach Steinhorn 38
JOviedo, Pit Scott Engel 6
JDuran, Min Scott Swanay 4
HWesneski, ChC Scott Engel 2
OCabrera, NYY Scott Engel 2
JWentz, Det Jeff Zimmerman 1
AAquino, Cin Jeff Zimmerman 1
BCrawford, SF Scott Pianowski 1
ESwanson, Sea Scott Swanay 0
ABaddoo, Det Scott Pianowski 0
JLyles, Bal Scott Pianowski 0
DBote, ChC Scott Pianowski 0

Mixed Draft

Player Team Bid
GHampson, Col AJ Mass 192
WMerrifield, Tor Ray Murphy 111
BElder, Atl Rudy Gamble 47
EOlivares, KC Adam Ronis 42
APujols, StL Seth Trachtman 40
BGarrett, Mia Seth Trachtman 16
RMcGuire, Bos Shelly Verougstraete 2
BDeLaCruz, Mia Tim McLeod 1
WBrennan, Cle Shelly Verougstraete 1
ETovar, Col Scott White 0
GMarquez, Col Scott White 0

Head to Head

Player Team Bid
OCabrera, NYY Greg Jewett 0
LRengifo, LAA Greg Jewett 0
BDeLaCruz, Mia Greg Jewett 0
HWesneski, ChC Frank Stampfl 0
ERodriguez, Det Frank Stampfl 0

Mixed with IP & Saves+Holds

Player Team Bid
EduEscobar, NYM Jennifer Piacenti 56
BOber, Min Matt Truss 42
EAndrus, CWS Chris Clegg 23
MKeller, Pit Chris Clegg 23
BNimmo, NYM Chris Clegg 17
AHouser, Mil Sara Sanchez 12
BDonovan, StL Chris Clegg 1

Tout Wars FAB Report: Week of September 19

You can’t take it with you! The Touts are emptying the FAB wallets. Some are embroiled in a tight battle for the championship, some are grinding to finish above the line to not lose FAB for next season while some are simply trying to end the season on a high note.

We’re getting down to the wire. If you want to track the races in any of the Tout leagues, just click on the league header.

American League

Player Team Bid
JAranda, TB Doug Dennis 104
BAbreu, Hou Doug Dennis 44
SHentges, Cle Doug Dennis 44
MMoniak, LAA Rick Wolf/Glenn Colton 39
DMartin, CWS Rick Wolf/Glenn Colton 19
DAcevedo, Oak Rob Leibowitz 0
DermGarcia, Oak Mike Podhorzer 0

National League

Player Team Bid
JGroshans, Mia Brian Walton 40
HWesneski, ChC Brian Walton 7
ZMcKinstry, ChC Grey Albright 5
CKuhl, Col Phil Hertz 1
JAzocar, SD Wilderman/Prior 0
WMiley, ChC Wilderman/Prior 0

Mixed Salary Cap

Player Team Bid
WMiley, ChC Scott Swanay 51
MStraw, Cle Zach Steinhorn 36
RCastro, Pit Scott Pianowski 35
KHayes, Pit Scott Swanay 31
BBello, Bos Alex Chamberlain 23
GUrshela, Min Scott Pianowski 19
DPeralta, TB Derek VanRiper 11
NSenzel, Cin Scott Pianowski 7
TKemp, Oak Scott Pianowski 6
ZGreinke, KC Scott Pianowski 2
DAcevedo, Oak Jeff Zimmerman 1
DMartin, CWS Jeff Zimmerman 1

Mixed Draft

Player Team Bid
JWendle, Mia AJ Mass 150
DJameson, Ari Perry Van Hook 131
CPinder, Oak AJ Mass 100
OCabrera, NYY Rudy Gamble 47
DFloro, Mia Rudy Gamble 37
RCastro, Pit Ray Murphy 34
YMoncada, CWS Adam Ronis 24
DMartin, CWS Rudy Gamble 24
IKinerFalefa, NYY Shelly Verougstraete 20
HWesneski, ChC Seth Trachtman 15
SHuff, Tex Seth Trachtman 8
CBellinger, LAD Mike Gianella 5
LOrtiz, Pit Tim McLeod 2
KFinnegan, Was Tim McLeod 2
JWentz, Det Tim McLeod 1
DAcevedo, Oak Scott White 0
AuRomine, Cin Shelly Verougstraete 0

Head to Head

Player Team Bid
ASampson, ChC Frank Stampfl 32
CMorris, Cle Frank Stampfl 6

Mixed with IP & Saves+Holds

Player Team Bid
APujols, StL Jennifer Piacenti 66
JSuarez, LAA Brian Entrekin 17
AAquino, Cin Brian Entrekin 16
YDaza, Col Brian Entrekin 12
WMiley, ChC Brian Entrekin 12
RCastro, Pit Jake Ciely 0
YMoncada, CWS Jake Ciely 0
BBello, Bos Jake Ciely 0
LRengifo, LAA Jake Ciely 0

Tout FAB Report: Week of September 12

The head to head playoffs are underway. We have a couple of leagues heading to a photo finish while everyone is still grinding to finish above the cutline to lose FAB for next season.

To check out the standings, full rosters and all the moves for each league, just click on the header.

American League

Player Team Bid
JJung, Tex Rob Leibowitz 252
OPeraza, NYY Doug Dennis 141
RGonzalez, CWS Jeff Erickson 45
KPilkington, Cle Jason Collette 4
RKreidler, Det Mike Podhorzer 2
TFreeman, Cle Patrick Davitt 1
DTate, Bal Rob Leibowitz 0
ACimber, Tor Rob Leibowitz 0
MMoore, Tex Rob Leibowitz 0
KWaldichuk, Oak Rick Wolf/Glenn Colton 0
JSears, Oak Rick Wolf/Glenn Colton 0
JWinder, Min Jeff Erickson 0
AToro, Sea Jeff Erickson 0

National League

Player Team Bid
ACall, Was Ian Kahn 82
DVillar, SF Brian Walton 45
SManaea, SD Ian Kahn 33
JSuwinski, Pit Brian Walton 25
RNelson, Ari Phil Hertz 14
PHiggins, ChC Peter Kreutzer 13
MVientos, NYM Phil Hertz 11
CMitchell, Pit Peter Kreutzer 8
JChavez, Atl Peter Kreutzer 4
MReynolds, Cin Wilderman/Prior 0
RAdams, Was Wilderman/Prior 0
GStubbs, Phi Wilderman/Prior 0

Mixed Salary Cap

Player Team Bid
CCarrasco, NYM Alex Chamberlain 89
JJung, Tex Jeff Zimmerman 42
EHaase, Det Zach Steinhorn 12
DFloro, Mia Justin Mason 8
YGomes, ChC Derek VanRiper 3
RGonzalez, CWS Derek VanRiper 3
MVientos, NYM Scott Engel 3
LPatino, TB Justin Mason 2
JSchreiber, Bos Scott Engel 2
LCessa, Cin Jeff Zimmerman 1
YMolina, StL Alex Chamberlain 1

Mixed Draft

Player Team Bid
HBrown, Hou Rudy Gamble 138
JBarrero, Cin Rudy Gamble 119
RNelson, Ari D.J. Short 50
OGonzalez, Cle Adam Ronis 28
CAbrams, Was Perry Van Hook 23
ACall, Was Perry Van Hook 23
CFlexen, Sea Perry Van Hook 17
AAquino, Cin Charlie Wiegert 15
EAndrus, CWS Charlie Wiegert 12
LCessa, Cin Adam Ronis 8
VCaratini, Mil Seth Trachtman 6
DVillar, SF Scott White 3
KGibson, Phi Mike Gianella 3
GMarquez, Col Mike Gianella 3
CMorris, Cle Shelly Verougstraete 3
KCarpenter, Det Scott White 1
SMoll, Oak Tim McLeod 1
AOttavino, NYM Scott White 0

Head to Head

Player Team Bid NPivetta, Bos Ariel Cohen 34 LThomas, Was Ariel Cohen 34 HBrown, Hou Frank Stampfl 33 EAndrus, CWS Ariel Cohen 24 YGrandal, CWS Frank Stampfl 12 RNelson, Ari Ryan Hallam 2 Frank Stampfl Greg Jewett 0 BAnderson, Mia Greg Jewett 0 GStanton, NYY Clay Link 0 HRamirez, TB Clay Link 0

Mixed with IP & Saves+Holds

Player Team Bid
LThomas, Was Sara Sanchez 22
YGomes, ChC Sara Sanchez 1

Tout Table: Tips for the Stretch Run

Moves become magnified since there is less margin for error. With that in mind, the Touts were asked:

What is your favorite piece of advice to offer those seeking tips on roster management down the stretch?

Perry Van Hook (Mastersball, @): At the end of the year whether you are trying to finish first or just improve in the standings, your focus should be on you positions in each category in your league Where can you gain points? Where do you have to make sure you aren’t losing point? If you have categories where you cant’ gain or lose points you might want to replace players you have whose strongest contributions are in those categories with players who can help you in others.

Ryan Hallam (Fighting Chance Fantasy, @FightingChance): Play like there is no tomorrow. Because there aren’t many more left. Guy dealing with a nagging injury, replace them. Guy on a hot streak, ride it! If you are in a roto league look at the standings and see where you can improve the most the quickest and go for it. No time to lose now, play that last month like your hair is on fire and hope your competition is paying more attention to their fantasy football teams.

D.J. Short (NBC Sports Edge, @djshort): I’d be careful about carrying dead weight on your roster. That could range from a player with a day-to-day type of injury, a veteran who is underperforming, or even an exciting prospect. It’s all about maximizing your roster for today. It’s not about a player’s perceived value or what they could be in the future. I’d also be honed in on which teams are playing the most games, possible two-start pitcher options, and where and who certain teams will be playing to close out the season. That value in the margins could ultimately be the separator in a league.

Fred Zinkie (Yahoo! Fantasy Sports, @FredZinkieMLB): Forget “Mr. Right” and find “Mr. Right Now”. Those who have the role you need at the moment are the players to target, even if you have doubts about their long-term future.

Jason Collette (Rotowire, @jasoncollette): Any scratch is a flaw. Every at bat or inning counts, so you don’t have the luxury to carry a guy around while waiting for that sore hammy or tweaked ankle to get healthy. Churn and burn until the end.

Brian Walton (CreativeSports2, @B_Walton): Know your league’s trade deadline. It may be your last chance to pick up a player who can contribute in key categories in which you are in need.

Michael A. Stein (Fantasy Judgment, @FantasyJudgment): Cut ties with injured players or minor leaguers unlikely to make an impact in September. Every roster spot is precious so accumulate depth and flexibility if possible. Focus on matchups and schedules because certain teams will be punching bags as they play out the stretch with weak pitchers and lineups.

Todd Zola (Mastersball, @toddzola): Don’t dismiss the ability to make up ground in ratio categories (BA, OBP, ERA, WHIP). While it all depends on where you are within each category, on average, more points are gained and lost the final week in ERA and WHIP than the other categories.

Doug Dennis (BaseballHQ, @dougdennis41): Do what you gotta do. Anything goes. Scrape up every point you can. Use every means possible. Hail Marys allowed.

Nick Pollack (Pitcher List, @PitcherList): Bank as much production as you can. There isn’t enough time left to chase the “perfect player” – If something is helpful now, go after it.

Scott Pianowski (Yahoo! Fantasy Sports, @Scott_Pianowski): Just showing up will go far this time of year. With football here and back-to-school dominating many households, some of the non-contenders in your league will start checking out. Every September I’m shocked at the good players I can land for small or even minimum bids. Another key is to carefully audit the categories, see where you can easily gain or fall. Vacuum value no longer matters, we’re no longer playing for the big inning. Your winning path is much more specific now, and that needs to be incorporated in your pickup and starting strategy.

Ron Shandler (RonShandler.com, @RonShandler): Those in keeper and dynasty formats should maintain a close eye on September call-ups all month, and speculate. That’s what I did last September and now own Spencer Strider.

James Anderson (Rotowire, @RealJRAnderson): Don’t be afraid to drop someone in your redraft league if it makes your team better over the next 1-2 weeks. Playing time is always king, and that becomes an even bigger challenge in September.

Mike Gianella (Baseball Prospectus, @MikeGianella): Playing time is king. If someone is day-to-day or might go on the IL and you have a viable replacement, use the healthy player. If you don’t have limited IL slots don’t be afraid to cut a player unless it’s an obvious superstar. It’s easy to overthink these decisions but if you’ve put yourself in a position to win in September you should already have a strong feeling for who should and shouldn’t be starting for you right now.

Ariel Cohen (CBS Sports, @ATCNY): Its all about the format. In roto – play the categories, not just the raw player value. A 40-SB type player could be useless or more important than Aaron Judge depending on your situation. In points with playoffs – take a look at upcoming schedules and act in advance to get players on your playoff roster, regardless of wat had transpired thus far in the season. Also … take into account risk. Play safer options with a lead, and take risks when trailing. Finally … its all about playing time. Seek out players with playing time.

Jeff Zimmerman (Fangraphs, The Process, @jeffwzimmerman): Don’t look any further ahead than a week or two in redraft. Move on from hitters and pitchers if you don’t plan on using them over the next two weeks which is half the season.

Mike Podhorzer (Fangraphs, @MikePodhorzer): Throw out your preseason values. All that matters now is your position in each of the categories standings. Good in home runs and RBI, but could gain several stolen base points? Then sure, go ahead and trade Yordan Alvarez for Jorge Mateo or Cedric Mullins!

Andrea Lamont (LennyMelnickFantasySports, @RotoLady): Be willing to drop historically good players if they aren’t performing. Josh Hader comes to mind. Don’t bother with names, find players who are getting at bats every day. Pay close attention to categories to target areas you can gain points.

Alan Harrison (The Fantasy Fix, @TheFantasyFix): In roto, take a long look at your standings and assess your ability to gain points in each of the categories. If you can still trade, don’t be afraid ot make a trade that includes your preseason stud for their midseason waiver addition if you believe it will help you gain ground in said categories. Maximize ABs, tinker with matchups/platoons until the very end. Money or not, moving up a couple spots at the end of the season is worth the small investment of time. Finish what you started and have fun.

Brent Hershey (Baseball HQ, @BrentHQ): Remember that MLB front offices are always “thinking” similar to how we operate in dynasty leagues — always with at least one eye on the future. The teams that are ‘out of it’ are preparing for next year, giving chances to young players or reclamation projects to sink or swim, to see how players respond. That’s where some of the suprise opportunities and results are going to be found in the final weeks. Identify these opps. Plug the players in for your final push. May the hot streaks find you.

Charlie Wiegert (CDM Sports, @GFFantasySports): Navigating the mine field is tough! Keep an eye out for opportunities, like Herget getting saves for the Angels. Managers are going to six man rotations, and cutting innings for pitchers. Playoff teams will rest stars, non playoff teams will bring up rookies. Stay alert!

Matt Truss (Razzball, @MattTruss): Be flexible and you have to look at the standings to see where the most points can be gained. If I’m dead last in stolen bases in a league and have a HR cushion, I’m likely benching a bopper for a guy like, Bubba Thompson in hopes of making up points.

Nando DiFino (The Athletic, @nandodifino): Go nuts and try to win. You can still do a lot of damage in September — and other teams can, conversely, get hurt by injuries or bad stretches of play. Be aggressive with moves, pay attention to daily lineups, BOP and “last 7 days” and go for the title instead of playing things conservatively

Anthony Aniano (Rotoballer, @AAnianoFantasy): You are all in!!! Anyone is droppable and anyone is addable if it means helping you win the league.

Chris Blessing (Baseball HQ, @C_Blessing): I’m consumed by the waiver

Frank Stampfl (Fantasy Pros, @Roto_Frank): Don’t be afraid to cut struggling “stars”, especially in shallow leagues. If you play in Roto, pay close attention to which categories you can most easily move up AND down in when making waiver moves. If you play in H2H points, pitching will be key. Try and gobble up as many two-start pitchers as you can, whether to start them yourself or prevent your opponent from starting them.

Scott Swanay (FantasyBaseballSherpa, @fantasy_sherpa): Spend more time analyzing (if not agonizing over) pitching matchups, especially if you’re trying to balance ratio management w/ chasing Wins and Strikeouts. It might be tempting to throw caution to the wind and just look at the counting categories for pitching, but a couple of ill-advised pitcher selections could do serious damage to your WHIP/ERA without having much time to recover at this time of year.

Vlad Sedler (FTNfantasy, @rotogut): Don’t allow football to take away from your focus down the stretch. Keep up with daily MLB transactions, playing time, lineup orders, splits and opposing matchups. Keep grinding!

Shelly Verougstraete (Dynasty Guru, @ShellyV_643): Go week to week. Move on from hitters that are slumping or have bad matchups. Same goes for pitchers. If some lands on the injured list, it might be a good idea to just drop them.

Patrick Davitt (BaseballHQ, @patrickdavitt): What they said: Look for opportunities in the categories (don’t forget you can trade from any position if you’re on an “island” where you can’t gain or lose points), in redraft, don’t worry about “losing” the trade by the names involved if it means making gains in categories where those opportunities present themselves. Of course, in keeper/dynasty formats, if you ain’t winning, you need to be dealing for keepers.

Sara Sanchez (bleedcubbieblue.com, @BCB_Sara): What everyone said above. Stay active. Keep making moves. Scour the free agents for people that can help you where you can make up the most points. So many people get distracted in the final few weeks of a season and those are all points you can make up on your competition.

Zach Steinhorn (CreativeSports2, @zachsteinhorn): Don’t be afraid to drop any player, even if you had high hopes for him entering the season and have stuck with him through his year-long struggles. If he hasn’t figured things out by now, there’s a good chance that 2022 will end up being a lost season. Roster spots have value and if you can use that roster spot to address a specific area of need, stubbornly holding on to a player simply because dropping him would be upsetting doesn’t make much sense.

Jeff Barton (Scoresheet Sports, @JeffScoresheet): Your place in the standings matters as the season closes. If you are ahead you can/should play it safe, and take the surer stat performers (generally veterans, or guys who have at least played all season and have been consistently good.) But, if you are lagging, then this is time for gambles. Maybe a guy who just got called up (Henderson?), or a pitcher on a losing MLB team who might get promoted to the rotation for the final 4-5 weeks, is the kind of guy you need to gamble on.

Tim Heaney (TheGameDay.com, @TeamHeaney): WAKE. UP. EARLY, in September. Read EVERYTHING you can in the final month about streamers, platoon matchups, and category targets. NFL kickoff can’t get in the way of the final month. When everyone worries about their RB1, you worry about what team’s fifth starter will face the Tigers.

Chris Clegg (Fantrax, @RotoClegg): At this point of the season, staying focused can allow you to make moves in the standings. Don’t be afraid to drop a player you drafted high if they are on an extended cold streak. You should be paying attention to standings to see what categories you can make gains in and hammer those categories when looking at waivers and lineup decisions. Small boosts in several categories can lead to changes in the overall standings.

Rob Leibowitz (Rotoheaven, @rob_leibowitz): It is all about the standings and the incremental changes you can make or defend against. Look for gains and vulnerabilities. If you have a shot at contending, that last trade or two you can make at your league’s trade deadline is crucial with a last minute move other teams can’t then counter. So wait as long as possible to announce any of those deals. I like to focus on saves and stolen bases and generally the other counting stats where a change or two can make a big difference over the last few weeks while using defensive measures on the derived stats if wins are not an issue (taking out that 4th or 5th starter type for a reliever, etc.) While this may not be as true as the days of the 40-man September when players were out for the season, even if not on the DL. It is time to cut bait in redraft leagues and keeper leagues if you’re in go for it mode.

Tout Head to Head, the Playoffs are Set

The regular season is over.

The final regular season standings

Clay Link edged 2021 champ Frank Stampfl for first place in a tight race, with both teams earning a first-round bye.

Greg Jewett wins the tiebreaker for the sixth and final playoff spot over Geoff Pontes. He’ll face 2020 champ Ariel Cohen in the first round.

In the other opening week game, fourth-place finisher Ryan Hallam will face Paul Sporer, who finished fifth.

Next week Link will face the winning team this week with the worse record, while Stampfl will face the team with the better record.

Tout Wars FAB Report: Week of September 5

As we enter the first full week of September, every move becomes magnified.

Some intriguing names are available this week, below are the players and bids.

To see the standings, rosters and all the moves for a specific league, just click on the league header.

American League

Player Team Bid
JHerget, LAA Patrick Davitt 129
JAguilar, Bal Rick Wolf/Glenn Colton 19
JSchreiber, Bos Rick Wolf/Glenn Colton 9
HBrown, Hou Mike Podhorzer 5
VBrujan, TB Jason Collette 3
ALange, Det Jason Collette 3
WSmith, Hou Jason Collette 2
JCave, Min Larry Schechter 1
CWong, Bos Larry Schechter 1
BHamilton, Min Mike Podhorzer 0
ABass, Tor Patrick Davitt 0

National League

Player Team Bid
MToglia, Col Tristan H. Cockcroft 45
RPepiot, LAD Tristan H. Cockcroft 21
SSteer, Cin Steve Gardner 9
JJunis, SF Tristan H. Cockcroft 8
PEspino, Was Phil Hertz 4
SOkert, Mia Peter Kreutzer 1
ABellatti, Phi Peter Kreutzer 1
ALopez, Cin Peter Kreutzer 0
ARivas, ChC Peter Kreutzer 0
AWynns, SF Wilderman/Prior 0
MBanuelos, Pit Todd Zola 0
JAlexander, Mil Derek Carty 0

Mixed Salary Cap

Player Team Bid
JProfar, SD Zach Steinhorn 53
TCasas, Bos Brent Hershey 31
MToglia, Col Tim Heaney 26
CMorris, Cle Brent Hershey 23
SSteer, Cin Derek VanRiper 22
JHerget, LAA Jeff Zimmerman 12
NPratto, KC Brent Hershey 11
KWaldichuk, Oak Brent Hershey 9
HBrown, Hou Scott Engel 7
OPeraza, NYY Scott Engel 7
KHernandez, Bos Justin Mason 4
JAssad, ChC Scott Engel 2
GMitchell, Mil Scott Engel 2
DJansen, Tor Brent Hershey 1
TFriedl, Cin Jeff Zimmerman 1
ERosario, SD Justin Mason 0
JHeasley, KC Justin Mason 0
THenry, Ari Justin Mason 0

Mixed Draft

Player Team Bid
JHerget, LAA Charlie Wiegert 122
CBethancourt, TB Charlie Wiegert 113
SSteer, Cin D.J. Short 100
MBarnes, Bos Charlie Wiegert 88
MTaylor, KC Charlie Wiegert 81
JLeclerc, Tex Charlie Wiegert 76
GSheets, CWS Charlie Wiegert 66
IVargas, Was Charlie Wiegert 41
MToglia, Col Tim McLeod 22
CDickerson, StL Adam Ronis 18
EduEscobar, NYM Adam Ronis 18
TFriedl, Cin Adam Ronis 18
JSuarez, LAA Rudy Gamble 18
TRogers, Mil Tim McLeod 16
BFalter, Phi Seth Trachtman 15
JGray, Was Mike Gianella 10
MOzuna, Atl Mike Gianella 10
OPeraza, NYY Scott White 5
GMitchell, Mil Scott White 0
LSeverino, NYY Scott White 0

Head to Head

Player Team Bid
OCruz, Pit Frank Stampfl 14
KWaldichuk, Oak Frank Stampfl 13
KBradish, Bal Clay Link 2
TFriedl, Cin Greg Jewett 0

Mixed with IP & Saves+Holds

Player Team Bid
GHenderson, Bal Matt Truss 111
CCarroll, Ari Chris Clegg 107
BHamilton, Min Sara Sanchez 24
CDoval, SF Matt Truss 23
JSiri, TB Matt Truss 21
JFraley, Cin Chris Clegg 12
IParedes, TB Chris Clegg 8
JTrevino, NYY Sara Sanchez 4
MMargot, TB Andy Behrens 1
DKremer, Bal Jake Ciely 0
KBradish, Bal Jake Ciely 0
TTaylor, Mil Jeff Boggis 0
JLyles, Bal Jeff Boggis 0
RGreene, Det Jake Ciely 0
MVierling, Phi Jake Ciely 0

Tout Wars FAB Report: Week of August 29

It is Corbin Carroll this week for the Mixed Tout teams. One of the game’s top prospects is due to make his MLB debut on Monday. Check out how many balloons it took for Carroll, as well as the other pickups this week.

To see the standings, rosters and moves for all the Tout leagues, just click on the section header.

American League

Player Team Bid
DWaters, KC Mike Podhorzer 67
KStowers, Bal Jeff Erickson 32
AVoth, Bal Ryan Bloomfield 31
MMathias, Tex Doug Dennis 29
MBrash, Sea Joe Sheehan 16
FCordero, Bos Jason Collette 12
JJimenez, Det Joe Sheehan 11
WPeralta, NYY Jeff Erickson 11
BAbreu, Hou Rick Wolf/Glenn Colton 10
GHenderson, Bal Rick Wolf/Glenn Colton 10
MWhite, Tor Jason Collette 6
BNaylor, Cle Patrick Davitt 4

National League

Player Team Bid
JAssad, ChC Peter Kreutzer 68
GMitchell, Mil Steve Gardner 26
TFriedl, Cin Tristan H. Cockcroft 14
BFalter, Phi Brian Walton 12
GAllen, Pit Todd Zola 7
LCessa, Cin Brian Walton 6
NMaton, Phi Peter Kreutzer 3
IVargas, Was Peter Kreutzer 3
WCrowe, Pit Peter Kreutzer 1
YMolina, StL Grey Albright 0
CRobinson, Cin Derek Carty 0

Mixed Salary Cap

Player Team Bid
CCarroll, Ari Derek VanRiper 327
DPeterson, NYM Scott Swanay 45
BFalter, Phi Alex Chamberlain 40
JFlaherty, StL Scott Swanay 35
SZavala, CWS Zach Steinhorn 33
CSchmidt, NYY Scott Swanay 30
CBethancourt, TB Scott Pianowski 22
DSolano, Cin Jeff Zimmerman 13
CDickerson, StL Scott Engel 12
LWade, SF Tim Heaney 7
CCavalli, Was Justin Mason 7
GMarquez, Col Scott Engel 4
BBello, Bos Jeff Zimmerman 3
RMontero, Hou Scott Engel 3
EDuran, Tex Jeff Zimmerman 2
LThomas, Was Scott Pianowski 1
MCastillo, KC Justin Mason 1

Mixed Draft

Player Team Bid
CCarroll, Ari Shelly Verougstraete 323
BBello, Bos Rudy Gamble 77
BHughes, ChC D.J. Short 50
KHiura, Mil D.J. Short 35
DBundy, Min Perry Van Hook 23
DSolano, Cin Ray Murphy 18
JBleday, Mia Ray Murphy 18
SWatkins, Bal Shelly Verougstraete 6
DKremer, Bal Shelly Verougstraete 6
AVoth, Bal Adam Ronis 6
ERivera, Ari Adam Ronis 6
GHenderson, Bal Scott White 4
JJung, Tex Scott White 4
FCordero, Bos Adam Ronis 3
APujols, StL Scott White 0
ZJackson, Oak Scott White 0
MMoore, Tex Scott White 0

Head to Head

Player Team Bid
JBrubaker, Pit Chris Welsh 85
LNootbaar, StL Ariel Cohen 53
JMcCarthy, Ari Chris Welsh 35
EFedde, Was Ariel Cohen 35
BStott, Phi Ariel Cohen 34
DPeterson, NYM Clay Link 32
SZavala, CWS Chris Welsh 25
OGonzalez, Cle Frank Stampfl 17
ERodriguez, Det Greg Jewett 3
GHenderson, Bal Clay Link 1

Mixed with IP & Saves+Holds

Player Team Bid
GSheets, CWS Jennifer Piacenti 52
KCarpenter, Det Chris Towers 1
BBello, Bos Matt Truss 7
BThompson, Tex Matt Truss 11
JDonaldson, NYY Jeff Boggis 0
MCanha, NYM Jeff Boggis 0
CQuantrill, Cle Jeff Boggis 0
DSmyly, ChC Sara Sanchez 4
BStott, Phi Sara Sanchez 9
DGerman, NYY Andy Behrens 0
DMoore, Sea Matt Truss 2

Tout Table: Leading Indicators for Roster Management

There’s about one quarter of the season left to play. Roster decisions are always important, but there’s less margin for error as the season progresses. With that in mind, the Touts were asked:

How relevant is recent performance (past 7, 14 and 21 days) when making lineup decisions for fringier players? Are there any particular metrics more actionable than others?

Nick Pollack (Pitcher List, @PitcherList): For pitchers, it can matter a great deal if there are massive changes in their arsenal. Velocity, pitch usage, increased whiffs, etc. can all indicate a legitimate change has been made and can be incredibly actionable. For example, Reid Detmers’ increased slider usage since coming back from the minor leagues in July.

Derek Carty (RotoGrinders, @DerekCarty): Particularly when talking about hitters, recent performance doesn’t hold any predictive value. The only thing it matters for is playing time. Particularly in deeper leagues where simply getting ABs has immense value, recent role is important, and good performance in that role (even if unsustainable) can lock in additional ABs going forward.

Seth Trachtman (NBC Sports Edge, @sethroto): There are small nuggets that can be drawn from recent performance, but overall, the most value from basic stats is simply plate appearances and pitcher roles (GS, holds, saves). More can be drawn from recent advanced stats like pitch velocity, pitch usage, etc.

CJ Kaltenbach (Fantasy Guru, @TheSeigeDFS): Recent performance matters with the younger players more as their lineup positions are more likely to get drastic improvement during the final six weeks of the season so I’m looking for guys who are hot and get them in the lineup before they get the lineup boost that puts them on everyone elses radar.

Ryan Bloomfield (BaseballHQ, @RyanBHQ): Echoing Nick’s comment on placing a heavy emphasis on recent pitcher changes (pitch mix change, movement change, and velocity increases) and acting quickly on those. Reid Detmers is a perfect example. For hitters, the only “recent” metric I look at is plate appearances. Need to always have your thumb on which players are on the field in addition to platoon splits and batting order. I put almost zero stock in recent hitter performance–so much variance in that throughout a season. I prefer to look at rest-of-season projections for hitters instead.

Larry Schechter (Winning Fantasy Baseball, @LarrySchechter): Trying to fill a couple of holes for my AL-only league, recent ABs are critical to find someone who will play some (or play a lot) and who looks like they have a decent track record for possible success. Welcome to my team Mike Masey and Terrin Vavra. Similarly I have benched Jake Meyers as his games played have dwindled, and he just hasn’t hit as I had expected.

Lenny Melnick (LennyMelnickFantasySports, @LennyMelnick): Basically ,any player being considered for my Roster is considered if they are slumping badly (I) 0 for 20 as an example ,yet still in the teams lineup Only a matter of time until the player hits In addition I try to get the backup to the player in a deep lg

Todd Zola (Mastersball, @toddzola): I’m in lockstep with Derek C, with a bit of a subjective addendum. Matchups and history are easily the most relevant factors, but if a player is hitting the ball hard (harder than normal) even in a small sample, I gravitate towards the player. I know the success could be due to facing weak pitching, but hitting the ball hard is still the best way to success (contrary to some poor research I presented last summer). I won’t rely strictly on how hard a hitter is making recent contact, but it’s at minimum a tiebreaker, and sometimes used to take a flyer if I need lightning in a bottle. WIth pitching, I have (as have others) shown recent outings are telling, so I am more apt to go with a pitcher on a roll than a hitter on a perceived streak.

Ariel Cohen (CBS Sports, @ATCNY): I typically look at the past 28 days in general for most stats/trends. For pitchers, I tend to look at the past 3 starts worth of performaces. For hitters – to find some replacement players, I look at ABs over the past 14 days. Playing time is KING.

Fred Zinkie (Yahoo! Fantasy Sports, @FredZinkieMLB): I’ll look at surface stats (AVG, HR etc.) for the past 7-14 days. Not to evaluate skills, but because players who have been playing well are more likely to get their name on upcoming lineup cards. For pitchers, I’m looking at skills and not recent results.

Brad Johnson (Patreon/BaseballATeam, @BaseballATeam): Regarding Derek’s comment, one of the things I focus on all season is using actual scouting to separate out a few “truly hot” hitters from the noise. He’s absolutely right that at the population level, any kind of hot streak is meaningless noise. However, anyone who has played baseball also intuitively knows that there is such as thing as being “locked in.” Our statistical tools still do a poor job of recognizing it, but I can promise you nearly MLBer would tell you sometimes they’re hot/cold for real reasons and sometimes it’s just luck. The Moneyball reflex might be to dismiss the concept of “real hot streaks” because the statistical evidence is lacking. If the last 15 years of statistical development (and especially Statcast) have taught me anything, it’s that if baseball lifers say something is real and we can’t find it in data, it means our data probably isn’t good enough.

Brad Johnson (Patreon/BaseballATeam, @BaseballATeam): In terms of actionable fantasy advice, the above just means to be skeptical of hot streaks. Assuming you aren’t personally scouting, you can still go after hot hitters on the chance they’re “true hot.” The projections are usually going to be more instructive than recent performance, but sometimes desperation calls for desperate maneuvers. As always, matchup quality is the #1 thing to follow when trying to squeeze real value out of marginal players.

Doug Dennis (BaseballHQ, @dougdennis41): I am only looking at usage and hoping to catch lightning in a bottle (typically) because the data sets we are talking about are so small (backwards and forwards).

Scott Pianowski (Yahoo! Fantasy Sports, @Scott_Pianowski): I’m usually focused on playing time, although sometimes a round of stolen bases can be a little bit sticky because it might encourage the player to keep running. As for a batter’s production in a small sample, it’s mostly important in that it could protect playing time. As most of the room has said, it’s got little to no predictive value, but a hot stretch might at least insure someone’s immediate role with a team. With pitchers, I’m generally focusing on walks and strikeouts, as always, and putting an eye on the upcoming schedule.

Chris Clegg (Fantrax, @RotoClegg): When looking at hitters recent performance I think looking at basic stats can be useful. Playing time matters most, but a player is more likely to keep or gain more playing time if they are providing value to their teams in real life. OBP, runs, and RBI can help show some value they are providing to their team. But at the end of the day, playing time trends are what matter most. For pitchers I do think recent performance matters because pitching has a lot to do with mental state on the mound and recent strong performance can keep a pitcher in a good place mentally. As Nick said, arsenal changes are also a factor when looking at pitchers recent performances.

Mike Podhorzer (Fangraphs, @MikePodhorzer): Recent performance over such a tiny sample is never relevant, regardless of the fringiness of the player. The only thing I might care about is a pitcher’s velocity — if it’s up recently and has led to a higher SwStk% and strikeout rate, then I would pay attention.

Tim Heaney (TheGameDay.com, @TeamHeaney): These splits are factors but will hardly tell the whole story. As the edict has been spewed out by many a fantasy tout, past stats only help you so much, if at all. We care about what’s to come. For batters, handedness and stadium in which they’ll hit play the most for me on the fringes. As for pitchers, facing lineups with high strikeout rates typically dictate streamer opportunities, depending on how deep I need to fish for useful arms.

Derek VanRiper (The Athletic, @DerekVanRiper): The volume of playing time, and even batting order locations matter to me in smaller samples, but the actual output is much less important due to the limited value it provides when slicing things into small segments. Within a smaller sample, I’m somewhat interested in seeing process-related numbers for hitters (i.e. hard-hit rate), but I try to limit how much I let performance during a small sample guide decision-making.

Sara Sanchez (bleedcubbieblue.com, @BCB_Sara): I agree with everyone above who said playing time matters more and I almost never make decisions on 7 or 14 day windows. However I do like to look at 30 day windows on occassion to isolate trends for pitchers and hitters. If I notice large changes I will dig deeper to see if pitch mixes have changed or maybe an individual hitter is pulling the ball more. I’m basically looking for anything that looks like a substantive change in a pitcher/hitters approach.

Doug Anderson (Fantrax, @rotodaddy): Projected playing time take precedence over recent results, but I also look at the upcoming schedule and see what ballparks players will be playing in and the pitching staffs they’ll be facing. I think that’s a better predictor of short term success than a player’s results over the last few weeks.

Charlie Wiegert (CDM Sports, @GFFantasySports): Very relevant. Players are streaky! Looking at season long stats, I wouldn’t play some guys like a Max Muncy. As Ron Shandler would say, once a player owns a stat, he’s got a good chance to repeat it. If players have a good history, and haven’t produced to that level, watch for them to get hot…..except for Bellinger!

Jeff Erickson (Rotowire, @Jeff_Erickson): I want to pretend that I’m savvy enough as a player to avoid recency bias, but that would be a lie. It informs playing time, and that’s what matters when you’re looking at fringier players on the waiver wire. That’s especially true the deeper the league is – after all, these players that are available in AL Tout Wars are available because they are flawed players in the first place, so why not err in favor of playing time?

Peter Kreutzer (Ask Rotoman, Fantasy Baseball Guide, @kroyte): I filter the free agent list each week by the last 14 or 21 days of stats. Not because these lists give me an idea of player talents, but because I’m always looking for at bats and innings pitched. There are pitfalls here. When a regular returns at bats for his sub dry up, but in deep leagues finding at bats often means finding value and there usually aren’t many choices. Identifying the best choices doesn’t always lead to success, an understatement, but keeps you in the game when someone does break out. And every once in a while someone does. Late in the season that’s what you’re looking for unless a top prospect arrives.

Jeff Zimmerman (Fangraphs, The Process, @jeffwzimmerman): For hitters, plate appearances, that’s it. For pitchers, 21 days includes 3-4 starts and several pitching metrics can restalize after 3 to 4 starts. I use it to compare to the full-season stats to see if there is a possible change in pitch mix or velocity.

Mike Sheets (ESPN, @MikeASheets): I will echo the group and say that I’m primarily looking at playing time right now. Even if I believe in the skills of a player, it doesn’t matter if he’s playing only 3-4 times per week. That said, recent results do affect playing time on many teams, so it’s worth paying attention to whether a recent hot streak is leading to a more regular role.

Ryan Hallam (Fighting Chance Fantasy, @FightingChance): The later it gets into the season the more the most recent data matters. It is getting close to the end and for instance the H2H league I am in there are only three weeks left for the regular season. A hot streak can last a few weeks and help propel you into the playoffs whether it is a hitter or a pitcher. Conversely, if a guy is starting to tail off it could certainly be fatigue or the fact that their team might not be playing relevant baseball right now. Early in the year I don’t put much stock into the first few weeks, but at the end it matters very much

Patrick Davitt (BaseballHQ, @patrickdavitt): I’m with the group: PAs and batting-order changes for hitters, SwStr and K%-bb% for pitchers, as a pointer to take a closer look at pitch-mixes and pitch-effectiveness changes.

Rudy Gamble (Razzball, @RudyGamble): I concur with the group. For hitters, it is typically looking at recent playing time, batting order, and projected matchups (pitcher quality, ballparks). For starting pitchers, a recent hot streak supported by solid K/BB is a good sign of health and possible improvements. For relief pitchers, recent performance a good gauge for both health and role/usage.

Bret Sayre (Baseball Prospectus, @BretSayreBP): It’s rarely relevant after the trading deadline because the quality of competition being faced is all over the place. For lineup decisions in August and September, I like to look forward to matchups using a season-long, high-quality metric like DRC+/DRA as the baseline rather than look backwards at recent performance.

Vlad Sedler (FTNfantasy, @rotogut): Recent output is part of the equation but it’s always best to look under the hood at advanced metrics, lineup slot/team context (for hitters) as well.