Tout Daily Wrap: A Wise Guy Once Said

Period 3 of Tout Daily kicked off Tuesday night with Gene McCaffrey from Wiseguy Baseball narrowly folding off a late surge from Mike Gianella from Baseball Prospectus. Bret Sayre, also from BP came in third.

McCaffrey’s winning lineup was lead by Kyle Gibson, a sage pick no one else used. Gene also deployed a mini-stack on both sides of Coors Field with Evan Longoria’s two-homer night the difference.

McCaffrey, Gianella and Sayre have the early lead for the next trio of Golden Tickets, awarded to the top scorers of each of the five Tout Daily Periods. A wild card ticket is awarded to the overall points leader, currently Todd Zola. See where your favorite Tout stands on the Leaderboard.

Here’s Gene’s entire squad:

Tout Daily Picks: Ross and Duffy lead the way

It’s the first week of a brand new Put Daily Period, the third of five. That means everyone has a clean slate and is tied for first. Here’s a few players we’re looking at to get this period off strongly.

Lawr Michaels (CreativeSports2, @lawrmichaels)

Kenta Maeda: Maeda has upped his K per nine to 11.7 and faces the Phillies, who have the third-worst strikeout rate in the majors facing right-handers.

Brandon Nimmo: The Mets outfielder comes off a week where he hit .276 with three homers and faces the eminently hittable Anibal Sanchez (1.324 career WHIP).

Jeff Boggis (Fantasy Football Empire, @JeffBoggis)

Tyson Ross: Tyson Ross has pitched a quality start (QS) in 4 out of his last 5 games. He’s really inducing a lot of strikes this month and is a solid alternative at $9,200.

Alex Bregman: In his last 10 games, Bregman has hit safely in all but 1 game. His salary of $4,000 has dropped by $200 this week. I’ll take his discounted price tonight.

Ray Murphy (BaseballHQ, @RayHQ)

Tyson Ross: He’s been pitching well in general, but especially at home… and faces the Marlins at Petco tonight.

Jose Altuve: Altuve’s hot, the weather in NY is hot, and this might be your last chance all year to play Altuve for under 5k. (He’s 4900 tonight.)

Todd Zola (Mastersball, @toddzola)

Danny Duffy: I usually go for the top pitchers, especially the first week of the period, but Duffy is showing signs of getting on track and the Twins are mediocre vs. LHP with a 25% strikeout rate. This may be a trap, but at 4K, it feels like a free square.

Andrew Benintendi: I also don’t usually stack in Tout Daily, at least I don’t force one, but saving with Duffy, Benintendi and JD Martinez against Estrada and his 1.96 HR/9 screams “play me”.

Clay Link (Rotowire, @claywlink)

Danny Duffy: Echo everything Todd said…seems almost too obvious but I can’t pass him up at that price.

Ryan McMahon: With Duffy as my SP2 and McMahon at $2,700 at Coors, I was able to load up the rest of my lineup with high-end talent.

ToutTable: Debunking Fantasy Myths

Doug Dennis (BaseballHQ, @dougdennis41): I do not believe in position scarcity. Year-to-year there may be a very tiny minor effect swallowed easily by acceptable variance. There is absolutely no reason to pay a premium at a given position unless you are in a very weird and unique league.

Rudy Gamble (Razzball, @RudyGamble): I feel like most fantasy baseball ‘conventional wisdom’ has moved closer to my line of thinking. While there was never unanimity on position scarcity, ‘don’t pay for saves’, and ‘don’t invest top picks in SPs’, I feel they are no longer even popular opinion. The two things in fantasy writing that make me cringe is overconfidence in one’s opinion and circular blathering. The only thing that could be more humbling than predicting fantasy baseball performance is hitting on women at a supermodel conference. Overconfidence tells me that one does not self-reflect much. Other times, I read whole articles or paragraphs that I feel could be condensed down to 100 characters if you remove all the hedges and caveats. Net-net, I’m all for humble terseness!

Todd Zola (Mastersball, @toddzola): Always acquire the best player in a trade! HOGWASH! Always look to improve your roster. If you roster is better by dealing the 1st and 4th best players for the 2nd and 3rd, DO IT! The key is looking at your roster before and after the deal, not simply grading on the players involved. That said, the shallower the league, the more I’ll lean to the best player mantra, but it isn’t absolute. The reason for this is in shallower leagues, there’s a better chance of upgrading players and you can’t upgrade the best.

Mike Gianella (Baseball Prospectus, @MikeGianella): Any advice that says “you should avoid this player at all costs.” There is always a price point/draft slot where 99 percent of players are worth taking and to simply write someone off because he’s being drafted higher than he “should” be drafted is such a huge mistake.

Larry Schechter (Winning Fantasy Baseball, @LarrySchechter): Most all conventional wisdom makes me cringe. It’s impossible to pick just one. This is one of my favorite sections of my book, where I debunk most conventional wisdom. A lot of it isn’t a question of whether or not you “believe” in it. A lot can be either proven to be true or debunked. Position scarcity is one such item. With a good value formula, you can prove whether or not there is scarcity at a position, and if so, quantify it in terms of dollar values. There is almost always scarcity for catchers…but rarely for other positions.

Ray Flowers (Fantasy Guru Elite, @BaseballGuys): You can easily find saves on the waiver-wire. This one needs some nuance as it depends the kind of league you’re in, and the level of competition, but I think the average fantasy player thinks that they can pass on saves at the draft an easily find them on waivers. Truth is – you can’t. EVERYONE is searching for saves in competitive leagues, so when that closer comes up, five, six, nine people are in on the bidding. You’re not guaranteed to get the closer whether you’re in a FAAB setup or waiver priority league, and even if you do in a FAAB setup you’re spending 25 percent of your budget to get that arm (often even more). So that idea, often espoused, that you can easily find closers once the season begins – nah brah.

Todd Zola: It’s a too early to really hammer away on this, but come August/September, ignore those suggesting you can’t gain/lose points in ratios. It’s actually easier as the categories are more bunched and you can gain points by having your opponents drop below you – you can’t lose counting stats, the only way to gain is earning them yourself.

Gene McCaffrey (Wise Guy Baseball, @WiseGuyGene): To this day, almost every day, I see someone saying or implying that groundball pitchers are good and flyball pitchers are bad. This is baloney. GBers have lower ERA’s and get a Win or two more, but FBers have lower WHIP’s and get more K’s. Many of the best pitchters are not only flyballers but extreme flyballers, such as Scherzer, Verlander and Cole.

Patrick Davitt (BaseballHQ, @patrickdavitt): Experts like Ron Shandler have been trying to debunk this myth for years, but a lot of my non-expert fantasy player friends still seem to believe too much in the accuracy of experts’ stat and valuation forecasts, both before drafts and in-season.

Todd Zola: OK, here’s another one. I shake my head every time I see “Who wins this trade?” It’s not about winning a trade, at least it shouldn’t be. The best trades are mutually beneficial. Sure, you make a deal because you feel it helps your team, but so did the other party.

Scott Pianowski (Yahoo! Fantasy Sports, @Scott_Pianowski): Long-winded pieces that are filled with every hedge imaginable make me cringe. One, it’s not helping anyone. Two, it’s dreadful to read. “A good pickup for NL-only leagues” is the cheapest currency when a new player emerges; how about for a mixed league? We shouldn’t invent or fake specific takes just to have them, but at least learn how to write concisely. I also think “universal and constant patience” is overrated as a fantasy concept, when “selective aggression” wins the compeititve leagues I observe. No, don’t do somehting rash when your first-rounder slumps. But always be looking for plausible upside you can add to the bottom of your roster, at the expense of once-interesting players who now could be disposable. An informed June choice is my preference to stubbornly clinging to “my February opinions.” I know, I know, everyone comes around or regresses – except when they don’t. And no, this was not concise, so I will now dodge your tomatoes.

Scott Pianowski: And since the esteemed TZ went with multiple entries, I’ll also pound the table and insist that “Regression!” should always be the start of the conversation, not the end of it. It’s too convenient to point out that some unlikely hot hitter “isn’t Mike Trout all of a sudden.” Simply identifying an outlier (and then framing it with a Grand Canyon-wide landing strip) is not enough; let’s make a rational guess as to where the puck is headed.

Scott Swanay (FantasyBaseballSherpa, @fantasy_sherpa): Position scarcity is a myth is a myth (call me Mr. Meta). Position scarcity is about the relative drop-off in fantasy values as you move down tiers at the different positions, and that drop-off is never the same for all positions. Sure, you’ll always be able to find options at any position that will allow you to field a legal lineup, but there’s a point at most positions below which you can’t go if you want your overall team to be competitive. At certain positions you’ll have to pay more for the same set of stats than you would at another position – Catcher seems to be the one position where the number of quality options is always small, while other positions move on/off the list from year to year based on relative talent levels. Some will say that “stats are stats”, and you shouldn’t pay more for them at one position than you would at another, but that argument ignores opportunity costs.

Todd Zola: Me again. Yes, you can chase wins. There’s more variance than the other stats, but wins are predictable. Vegas lines are a great place to start.

There’s some of ours. Is there any conventional wisdom you question?

Tout Wars FAAB Report: Week of May 28

Welcome to the weekly Tout Wars FAAB report, on its new home right here on the Tout Wars site. Each week, we’ll review the free agent acquisitions from all five leagues, with commentary from a league member, as well as yours truly. We changed the timing of the weekly run to 1 PM ET every Sunday, with the report posted later that afternoon so you’ll have time to digest and apply to your own leagues. In addition, I’ll be joining Lawr Michaels and Justin Mason on the Tout Wars Hour on the FNTSY Network every Sunday at 3:20 PM ET to discuss the results.

You can find the complete list of Tout Warriors here. Everyone starts with 1000 FAAB units, less any penalty incurred by finishing below a designated point in the standings. This is a means of keeping everyone motivated to keep playing all season long. The minimum bid is $0. FAAB units can be traded as well as rebated for players released off the DL.

The report will list all winning bids along with unsuccessful tries and contingencies. This provides the maximum level of information to help gauge interest on the players.

The American and National League only formats are 12-team leagues, as is the new points-based head to head league, The Mixed Auction and Draft each have 15 clubs. All the leagues have four reserves with an unlimited DL, expect the head to head league, which allows six reserves.

The headings above each league are links to publicly accessible sites where you can see standings, roster and a complete review of transactions. The initial auctions and drafts can be found here.

AMERICAN LEAGUE

SUCCESSFUL BIDS

PLAYER WINNING BID
APlutko, Cle Larry Schechter 312 Jeff Erickson 107 Chris Liss 79
Jason Collette 60 Lawr Michaels 37
Vlad Sedler 23 Doug Dennis 9
Rick Wolf/Glenn Colton 1
DCovey, CWS Larry Schechter 75 Seth Trachtman 5 Rick Wolf/Glenn Colton 1
DHess, Bal Lawr Michaels 37 Larry Schechter 75
CTilson, CWS Rick Wolf/Glenn Colton 26 Vlad Sedler 23 Chris Liss 11
BSwihart, Bos Chris Liss 22 Rob Leibowitz 15 Vlad Sedler 14
Larry Schechter 1
DVogelbach, Sea Rob Leibowitz 21 Seth Trachtman 0
JRondon, CWS Vlad Sedler 16 Rob Leibowitz 14 Rick Wolf/Glenn Colton 0
GPetit, Min Rob Leibowitz 7
CRoe, TB Rick Wolf/Glenn Colton 6 Larry Schechter 74 Doug Dennis 0
SLeon, Bos Vlad Sedler 4 Larry Schechter 2
TKahnle, NYY Vlad Sedler 3 Chris Liss 2 Doug Dennis 0
NRamirez, LAA Rob Leibowitz 2
BKeller, KC Seth Trachtman 0
JVenters, TB Doug Dennis 0 Rob Leibowitz 3
ARomine, NYY Larry Schechter 0

UNAWARDED BIDS

PLAYER
RGoins, KC Rob Leibowitz 5 Vlad Sedler 2
RTorres, KC Vlad Sedler 4
CBYoung, LAA Rob Leibowitz 3 Chris Liss 0
RTellez, Tor Vlad Sedler 2
DSmithJr, Tor Rob Leibowitz 1 Chris Liss 0
RStanek, TB Rick Wolf/Glenn Colton 0
TraThompson, CWS Rick Wolf/Glenn Colton 0
CPerez, Tex Larry Schechter 0
GGreiner, Det Larry Schechter 0
JSucre, TB Larry Schechter 0
RoPerez, Cle Larry Schechter 0
AClaudio, Tex Doug Dennis 0

Todd’s Commentary and Take

Larry Schechter lead the way this week with the top two bids, each on a starting pitcher. Adam Plutko was the big fish as he has two starts this week. The Indians right-hander takes the spot of Josh Tomlin, banished to the bullpen. Plutko’s had two solid outings with the Tribe, wrapped around three with Triple-A Columbus. In the pitching-starved AL Tout, he’s worth a dice roll for those needing whiffs with a chance at a win.

I’m less optimistic about Dylan Covey, though his velocity has increased so there’s something tangible to hang your speculative hat on.

Lawr Michaels also went for an arm, landing David Hess. I like Hess more than Covey but not as much as Plutko – granted, that’s not saying much.

Hitters grabbed the next two spots. The tag-team of Rick Wolf and Glenn Colton snagged Charlie Tilson, the next White Sox center fielder, a position about as stable as Spinal tap’s drummer. Has things gone as planned last season, Tilson could have been the opening day center fielder, but he lost 2017 due to injury. He has some speed if you’re looking for some bags.

Chris Liss is hoping it isn’t just manager-speak when Alex Cora said he’ll be using Swihart more behind the plate as well as at first base. This playing time should be more than most backup receivers. Swihart’s development has been slowed bu injury, but coming up as a product he was thought to have a plus hit tool, which will come in handy in a deep Red Sox lineup.

NATIONAL LEAGUE

SUCCESSFUL BIDS

PLAYER WINNING BID
CBuchholz, Ari Phil Hertz 124 Andy Behrens 43 Todd Zola 37
Grey Albright 11 Steve Gardner 5
JBautista, NYM Brian Walton 35 Steve Gardner 22 Lenny Melnick 9
Phil Hertz 1 Derek Carty 1
Tristan H. Cockcroft 0
EHernandez, Mia Todd Zola 33
LGarcia, Phi Brian Walton 12 Phil Hertz 17 Craig Mish 7
JRiddle, Mia Grey Albright 11 Brian Walton 32 Phil Hertz 5
SBrito, Ari Lenny Melnick 9 Phil Hertz 4 Brian Walton 2
BDixon, Cin Phil Hertz 5 Brian Walton 2 Steve Gardner 1
KTomlinson, SF Scott Wilderman 5 Derek Carty 0 Andy Behrens 0
VArano, Phi Phil Hertz 5 Brian Walton 2 Phil Hertz 1
SBaron, StL Andy Behrens 2
AAlzolay, ChC Craig Mish 2
DHernandez, Cin Brian Walton 2 Phil Hertz 3
JFields, LAD Andy Behrens 0 Brian Walton 2 Phil Hertz 0
EKratz, Mil Phil Hertz 0
PBaez, LAD Andy Behrens 0
GGarcia, StL Steve Gardner 0

UNAWARDED BIDS

PLAYER
ESogard, Mil Brian Walton 2 Phil Hertz 1
RRosario, ChC Brian Walton 2
TRainey, Cin Brian Walton 2
TWilliams, Mil Brian Walton 2
EFedde, Was Phil Hertz 1
DFloro, Cin Phil Hertz 0
MLorenzen, Cin Phil Hertz 0
SCishek, ChC Phil Hertz 0
STuivailala, StL Phil Hertz 0
TLyons, StL Phil Hertz 0
WSmith, SF Phil Hertz 0
BHoladay, Mia Andy Behrens 0
DanJennings, Mil Andy Behrens 0
SKieboom, Was Andy Behrens 0
TNido, NYM Andy Behrens 0

Brian Walton’s Commentary

The holiday weekend edition of National League Tout Wars bidding was relatively quiet – especially compared to the prior period when nearly $2000 was spent by owners chasing Juan Soto and the like.

This time around, former Red Sox pitching disappointment Clay Buchholz is in the headline – back in the majors with Arizona after getting out of his minors deal with the Royals. Two starts – against the Mets and A’s – with just two runs yielded in 11 innings has raised the hopes of some. Others look at the modest five strikeouts and move past.

Phil Hertz of BaseballHQ jumped in with both feet with his winning bid of $124. That destroyed two other offers in the $30’s and $40’s and several other lower bids.

Being last in home runs and second to last in RBI means I have to take chances to improve. This week that meant going after Joey Bats, who is just about out of his nine lives. I paid $35 for what may be part-time at-bats in his latest role in the Mets outfield. Mike Gianella of Baseball Prospectus had dropped Bautista when he was released by Atlanta after a failed trial as a third baseman.

Like Buchholz, Miami Rule 5 pick Elieser Hernandez is not a strikeout master, but the 23-year old is off to a nice, though belated start to his 2018. He opened the season on the DL after an emergency dental procedure. With a 1.80 ERA through five starts, the right-hander joined Lord Zola’s roster for $33 in an uncontested bid.

Speaking of Hernandezes, David received more attention than Elieser this week, though for less money. At this point, who will be getting saves in Cincinnati while Raisel Iglesias is out is anyone’s guess. I spent $2 in hopes it might be David.

Perhaps even cloudier is the Philly ninth-inning situation. Gianella had previously tried to corner the market of reasonable alternatives, but I grabbed Luis Garcia for $12 and Hertz added Victor Arano for $5. With Gabe Kapler calling the shots, who is to tell?

Todd’s Take

I can specifically recall an Arizona First Pitch Forum discussion, debating which Clayton would be better, Kershaw or Buchholz. Good times.

Team Mastersball put it’s three closers on the market this week — getting some nibbles and perhaps even bites as I have until first pitch on Monday to consummate a deal. It’s an odd market for saves as four teams are still in single digits. If I’m going to make a move, I need my hitting to improve organically while converting saves to starters. of course, now all my competitors knows this — assuming they’re reading.

MIXED LEAGUE AUCTION 

SUCCESSFUL BIDS

PLAYER WINNING BID
JAlvarado, TB Tim McLeod 260 Brent Hershey 112 Joe Pisapia 106
Jeff Zimmerman 104 Al Melchior 38
Ray Flowers 23
TONeill, StL Al Melchior 226 Joe Pisapia 155 Scott Engel 99
Jeff Zimmerman 14 Tim Heaney 13
MarkReynolds, Was Brent Hershey 84 Ray Flowers 6 Tim Heaney 0
JHughes, Cin Ron Shandler 78 Scott Engel 49 Tim McLeod 43
Scott Pianowski 31 Ray Flowers 29
Derek VanRiper 22 Tim Heaney 16
Jeff Zimmerman 0
CRoe, TB Al Melchior 64 Ray Flowers 17
YSanchez, CWS Scott Engel 59 Zach Steinhorn 17 Tim Heaney 0
MMaldonado, LAA Zach Steinhorn 57
WLeBlanc, Sea Scott Swanay 54 Scott Engel 44 Ray Flowers 23
JBradley, Bos Scott Swanay 48 Tim Heaney 5
AEngel, CWS Ron Shandler 47
APlutko, Cle Scott Engel 44 Fred Zinkie 22 Derek VanRiper 22
Ray Flowers 13 Ron Shandler 1
RGuzman, Tex Scott Engel 44 Joe Pisapia 22 Ray Flowers 6
FGalvis, SD Zach Steinhorn 36
SBieber, Cle Tim McLeod 29
RYarbrough, TB Ray Flowers 26 Scott Swanay 54 Tim McLeod 46
Zach Steinhorn 22 Scott Engel 22
Ron Shandler 5 Al Melchior 0
TSaladino, Mil Al Melchior 25 Scott Engel 23 Ron Shandler 21
Tim Heaney 0 Fred Zinkie 0
MMuncy, LAD Derek VanRiper 22 Scott Engel 31 Ray Flowers 6
GParra, Col Fred Zinkie 21
BSuter, Mil Zach Steinhorn 18 Scott Swanay 44 Tim Heaney 7
Scott Pianowski 3
MDuffy, TB Ray Flowers 17 Scott Swanay 28 Tim Heaney 1
TGlasnow, Pit Ray Flowers 13
WAdames, TB Tim Heaney 8
MKoch, Ari Scott Pianowski 5 Scott Engel 35 Ron Shandler 1
JMurphy, Ari Tim McLeod 4
ELauer, SD Jeff Zimmerman 4
MTaylor, Was Jeff Zimmerman 2
MCabrera, Cle Joe Pisapia 2 Ron Shandler 5 Tim Heaney 0
JShields, CWS Al Melchior 0
JBautista, NYM Tim Heaney 0
SLugo, NYM Tim Heaney 0

UNAWARDED BIDS

PLAYER
NWilliams, Phi Al Melchior 41
TKemp, Hou Al Melchior 41 Derek VanRiper 22 Scott Engel 21
TAustin, NYY Brent Hershey 35
JWendle, TB Scott Engel 34
NHundley, SF Zach Steinhorn 28 Tim McLeod 3
GoHernandez, SF Ron Shandler 27
JMercer, Pit Zach Steinhorn 21
HPerez, Mil Ray Flowers 17
KMorales, Tor Ray Flowers 17 Tim Heaney 1
AEscobar, KC Zach Steinhorn 13
JFields, LAD Ray Flowers 13
JKelly, Bos Ray Flowers 13
PSeverino, Was Zach Steinhorn 13
CVazquez, Bos Zach Steinhorn 12
LBrinson, Mia Tim Heaney 8
ONarvaez, CWS Zach Steinhorn 7
AdGonzalez, NYM Ray Flowers 6
DValencia, Bal Ray Flowers 6
DCovey, CWS Ron Shandler 5
HDozier, KC Ron Shandler 5
SGaviglio, Tor Ron Shandler 5
BMcCarthy, Atl Scott Pianowski 4
RRodriguez, Pit Scott Swanay 2
CBuchholz, Ari Ron Shandler 1
BHolt, Bos Scott Engel 0
BKeller, KC Al Melchior 0
EGonzalez, Cle Scott Engel 0

Todd’s Commentary and Take

The eternal quest for saves. This week, the targets are the Rays and Reds as Alex Colome is now with the Mariners while Raisel Iglesias is on the DL. Jose Alvarado is the Tout’s leading candidate to get the job done in the ninth with Jared Hughes the secondary choice. Chaz Roe is also in the mix with Tampa.

Tyler O’Neill was the top stick, perhaps buoyed by the chance Dexter Fowler lands on the DL.

Ryan Yarbrough drew a lot of attention, deservedly so. Not only has he been pitching well, he’s in a better position to grab a win as the follower and not the opener.

MIXED LEAGUE DRAFT

SUCCESSFUL BIDS

PLAYER WINNING BID
TONeill, StL Perry Van Hook 123
RGuzman, Tex Gene McCaffrey 68 Adam Ronis 12
ZWheeler, NYM Ray Murphy 48
DDuffy, KC Ray Murphy 38
JAlvarado, TB Adam Ronis 23 Tom Kessenich 11 Perry Van Hook 2
NTropeano, LAA Perry Van Hook 11 Tom Kessenich 1
DMesoraco, NYM Adam Ronis 3
EHernandez, LAD Greg Ambrosius 1
CKuhl, Pit Tom Kessenich 1

UNAWARDED BIDS

PLAYER
MarkReynolds, Was Gene McCaffrey 48
NEovaldi, TB Ray Murphy 8
ARosario, NYM Adam Ronis 8
JHughes, Cin Adam Ronis 8
LBrinson, Mia Gene McCaffrey 3
RRodriguez, Pit Tom Kessenich 1
DDietrich, Mia Perry Van Hook 0 Gene McCaffrey 0
AEngel, CWS Perry Van Hook 0
RDavis, Cle Perry Van Hook 0

Perry Van Hook’s Commentary

Who Knew? That only six of the fifteen teams would be bidding this weekend? That none of the other five thought Tyler O’Neill was even worth a bid? That I could have saved $122 of my $123 winning bid on O’Neill? The next highest bid will be challenged on instant replay but Gene McCaffrey won Texas 1B Ronald Guzman for $68. I didn’t think there was a lot of pitching help available this week, so I added Nick Tropeano of the Angels for $11 and had also bid on potential Tampa closer Jose Alvarado. Of course I wasn’t looking at pitchers formerly on my team but Ray Murphy was and added Zack Wheeler for $48 and Danny Duffy for $38.

Todd’s Take

The calm after the storm. As Perry suggests, it was a quiet period for the Mixed Drafters. Even the closer of the week, Alvarado, drew just four tries.

Guzman had a heck of a month this past week. Of course, he did it the week after I jettisoned him in Mixed LABR, but that’s a sort for a different report. He’s bought himself a longer leash as the Rangers are moving parts around, using Joey Gallo in left and Isiah Kiner-Falefa at third.

HEAD-TO-HEAD MIXED AUCTION

SUCCESSFUL BIDS

PLAYER WINNING BID
MGonzales, Sea Kyle Elfrink 79 Clay Link 58 Dr. Roto 12
Howard Bender 8
DMengden, Oak Andrea LaMont 59 Michael Rathburn 21
RGuzman, Tex Andrea LaMont 49 Dr. Roto 32 Michael Rathburn 3
JCandelario, Det Dr. Roto 41
MAdams, Was Clay Link 35 Dr. Roto 22
MWilliamson, SF Dr. Roto 32
APlutko, Cle Peter Kreutzer 23 Dr. Roto 4 Michael Rathburn 3
MBoyd, Det Peter Kreutzer 23 Clay Link 22 Michael Rathburn 3
Justin Mason 1
JMercer, Pit Peter Kreutzer 14
BNimmo, NYM Andrea LaMont 13 Clay Link 26 Michael Rathburn 4
Peter Kreutzer 0
RYarbrough, TB Dr. Roto 11
MMaldonado, LAA Michael Rathburn 6
BMcCarthy, Atl Howard Bender 4 Peter Kreutzer 17 Michael Rathburn 3
Clay Link 3
SMatz, NYM Michael Rathburn 3 Peter Kreutzer 7
HBailey, Cin Michael Rathburn 3
BParker, LAA Clay Link 2
GoHernandez, SF Michael Rathburn 1
BZobrist, ChC Peter Kreutzer 0
DFister, Tex Justin Mason 0

UNAWARDED BIDS

PLAYER
TONeill, StL Dr. Roto 22 Clay Link 17
ELauer, SD Kyle Elfrink 15
WLeBlanc, Sea Andrea LaMont 12
FBarreto, Oak Peter Kreutzer 8
MRojas, Mia Peter Kreutzer 7
JAlvarado, TB Dr. Roto 4 Clay Link 1
NWilliams, Phi Dr. Roto 3
DMesoraco, NYM Michael Rathburn 1
BAnderson, Mia Peter Kreutzer 0
NEovaldi, TB Justin Mason 0

Todd’s Take and Commentary

As opposed to the other leagues, there’s a lot of action in the Head to Head league. Of course, there’s only 12 teams which explains why some of these players are available.

Marco Gonzales was the prize as he’s lined up with a pair of decent starts this week coming off a couple of solid efforts. The Mariners didn’t acquire Gonzales as a throw in – he’s expected to be a rotation piece. Maybe he’s finally beginning to show why.

Jeimer Candelario and Mac Williamson are both recently activated from the DL. Both are full time players thus viable for leagues as shallow as ten-team mixed.

I like the pickups of Matt Adams and Brandon Nimmo for a stealth reason. By rule, both have to be active for the full week, but after that, they can be spotted on and out mid-week as the H2H league has Friday moves. Lefty platoon hitters are nice when a team has a series facing all righty throwers.

Tout Daily Wrapup: No Murphy’s Law for Ray

Baseball HQ’s Ray Murphy trounced the field in this week’s Tout Daily contest, outpacing second place finisher Rick Wolf by 23 points with ESPN’s Tristan Cockcroft coming in third. Not only did Ray shine Tuesday night, his effort propelled him to the top of the heap in Period 2, earning the BBHQ co-General Manager a Golden Ticket to the Tout Daily Final along with a free t-shirt from Rotowear.

Murphy’s lineup was lead by a pair of AL East arms as Chris Sale and Kevin Gausman were among the top scorers for the contest. However, the real difference makers were mike Zunino and Ehire Adrianza. Ray was the only Tout to click in Zunino and his 2-run HR while only one other chose Adrianza and his pair of two-baggers with a couple of runs and a duo of RBI.

Ray’s Golden Ticket into the Survivor Tournament finals was his first. The other two are awarded to Rotowire’s Clay Link and Mastersball’s Todd Zola, the second for each as they both earned a spot in the finals in Period 1.

Zola continues to sit atop the pack in overall scoring with Link and Fantasy Alarm’s Rick Wolf in the place and show spots. Check to see where your favorite Tout stands on the Leaderboard.

Here’s Ray’s week-leading lineup, also winning him a T-Shirt courtesy of @Rotowear.

Tout Daily: The Cole Hard Facts

It’s the final night of Period 2 so some will be playing it safe while others let their hand down and try to jump up the standings. Here’s some of the picks we’ll be clicking in.

Lawr Michaels (CreativeSports2, @lawrmichaels)

Jeremy Hellickson: The somehow resurrected Hellickson (2.20 over 32.6 frames with 26 whiffs with 0.857 WHIP) faces the Padres, inept when hitting (.227, MLB low 24 homers off righties) against right-handers.

Evan Gattis: The Astros backstop  has broken out of his slump somewhat, hitting .276-3-7 over his last 10 games, and batting against lefty Andrew Suarez, who has allowed a .338 average and six homers to right-handers.

Charlie Wiegert (CDM Sports, @GFFantasySports)

Kevin Gausman: If you cant use Gausman against the White Sox, when can you use him!?! He’s had flashes of brillance,usually against lower teir teams, so hopefully this is one of them

Nolan Arenado:

Jeff Boggis (Fantasy Football Empire, @JeffBoggis)

Gerrit Cole: Despite his last outing, Gerrit Cole is one of the top starting pitchers in major league baseball. His ERA (1.75), WHIP (0.79), and strikeouts (93) are top notch.

Corey Dickerson: Dickerson is facing Matt Harvey tonight. Do you need any more incentive?

Gene McCaffrey (Wise Guy Baseball, @WiseGuyGene)

Gerrit Cole: Few SPs are ever odds-on to post 30+ points; Cole tonight is one of them.

Cory Spangenberg: I don’t know if Cory Spangenberg is going to play, but he owns Hellickson (1.767 OPS with 2 SBs), and he costs $2700.

Todd Zola (Mastersball, @toddzola)

Chris Sale: I have a preliminary lineup with both Sale and Gerrit Cole. I’m leaning double ace to protect my overall lead and hope to backdoor into a Golden Ticket this period

Pedro Severino: He’s been playing, enjoys the platoon edge and doesn’t hit in the bottom third of the lineup — and is cheap.

Derek VanRiper (Rotowire, @DerekVanRiper)

Gerrit Cole: There are enough cheap pitchers in good spots to pay up for at least one of Cole or Chris Sale. The matchups are similar in difficulty, but Cole being at home is the tie-breaker.

Anthony Rendon: Rendon faces rookie lefty Eric Lauer — at a very affordable price…and there are plenty of good pivots at the ready of the rain in the forecast becomes an issue.

Howard Bender (Fantasy Alarm, @RotobuzzGuy)

Caleb Smith: Allows me to pay up for Cole or Sale, great K potential against the Mets who rely heavily on their lefty bats which Smith can neutralize

David Peralta: Great price on DK which will allow you some bigger bats elsewhere. Great numbers against RHPs and come on…it’s Jhoulys Chacin for crying out loud!

Scott Pianowski (Yahoo! Fantasy Sports, @Scott_Pianowski)

Gerrit Cole: I’ll probably play Gerrit Cole, just to flip off the Regression Police. Players can improve? J.D. Martinez isn’t going to get cut again?

Patrick Davitt (BaseballHQ, @patrickdavitt)

Luke Weaver: As my second guy. He’s pitching at home. Against KC. Need I say more?

Cody Bellinger: I liked Justin Bour at $3500 against Zack Wheeler, but I don’t trust the weather. I’ll take Bellinger’s favlourable L/R matchup vs COL RHP Chad Bettis.

Clay Link (Rotowire, @claywlink)

Caleb Smith: Coming off a poor start, and with weather concerns in NYC, Smith figures to see his ownership rate driven down. Gets plenty of whiffs in the strike zone…strikeout upside is there against middling offense.

Carlos Correa: The Astros have been bad at home, Correa included (.183/.281/.415), but at $4,200 against a soft-tossing lefty in Andrew Suarez, he’s quite appealing.

Jeff Erickson (Rotowire, @Jeff_Erickson)

Jhoulys Chacin: This might seem spooky, macabre or downright ghoulish, but Chacin is far better at home than the road and shut down Arizona last week.

Travis Shaw: Can you smell what Koch is cooking? The Brewers sure can.

ToutTable: Lowball Trade Offers

We touched a nerve with some in this week’s ToutTable, asking

How do you deal with the league-mate known for beginning trade talks with a lowball offer?

Here do you stand? Let us know on Twitter or in the comments.

Scott Engel (RotoExperts, @scotteRotoEx): I usually reject a lowball offer instantly and then it really depends on if I am at all interested in any of the players offered at all. If I am I will explore a counter offer through a small time window and then move on if nothing happens in many cases. Many times I just hit reject and that is it

Brian Walton (CreativeSports2, @B_Walton): Assuming there might be a needs match, it depends on whether the low-ball owner has a track record of becoming reasonable later on. Most times, if it is not the case and I expect he/she will be hard to deal with, I quickly decline and move on. However, I do reply to all offers made directly (not league-wide broadcasts) and wish everyone else would extend me that same courtesy.

Doug Dennis (BaseballHQ, @dougdennis41): I don’t have leaguemates like that. (Wait, does that mean it is me?)  Honestly, I am usually happy to take the lowball offer, try to see where I can make it a win/win and will counter if I can.  If I can’t, I don’t waste their time, I just say we don’t have a match that I see.  It strikes me that usually I *should* have a match with other owners because I am always unbalanced early in a season in redraft leagues.  I don’t have to “win” a deal on value–I just need a way that it adds to my point total.  I like when other owners are open to thinking about possibilities in various categories. And that starts to percolate at the end of May, early June, in re-draft leagues (in my experience).  Conversely, in dynasty or keepers, the store is ALWAYS open.

Gene McCaffrey (Wise Guy Baseball, @WiseGuyGene): Depends on my mood. If I’m feeling fine I reply “You will have to do better than that.” If I’m cross I will counter with an even more absurd counter-offer and a “don’t waste my time” PS. Honestly though, such offers are rarer than they used to be.

Rick Wolf (Fantasy Alarm, @RickWolf1): Firm believer in counter offers. That is how trading works. If it is such a bad offer, it can usually tell you what player(s) from your team that the person is interested in. Then you can start the process of making the trade. Review both teams needs to find out if there is a fit and then make an offer that helps both teams. If you can include players that the person had in the first lowball offer, all the better. If the owner does not counter offer and just says no or reiterates the bad offer, I explain how that is NOT how trading works. It is Accept, Counter or Reject. A straight reject ends the negotiation. Done and done.

Rudy Gamble (Razzball, @RudyGamble): I am nicer than I used to be. As long as it is remotely acceptable, I look to see if there is a mutually beneficial trade, counter if there is, or reject with a benign message. If it is just an irredeemable offer, I tend to shame them via private message. It’s been a long time, though, since I went full ‘scorched earth’ public shaming – last time I recall was when someone offered me Mike Aviles straight up for Mike (not yet Giancarlo) Stanton. Why don’t you just come to my house, drink all my liquor and replace it with Zima while you are it?

Steve Gardner (USAToday Fantasy Sports, @SteveAGardner): I like Rudy’s answer so much I’m going to use that next time … instead of my standard, “Jake, you know I’m not going to agree to that!”

Phil Hertz (BaseballHQ, @prhz50): I try to explain the absurdity of the offer. If there’s nothing interesting in the offer, that’s the end. If something was tempting I try to come up with a counter that might be tempting (and explain why the other owner should be interested ).

Mike Podhorzer (Fangraphs, @MikePodhorzer): How does one define “lowball”? Every owner values players differently, which is why each of us ended up as the highest bidder on the players we acquired at the auction. One owner might consider your offer a lowball, while if you ask another owner his opinion, he might disagree, believing it to be fair. At the very least, the lowball offers tells you immediately which player your potential trade partner wants. Then work your magic from there to negotiate a more beneficial deal for your team.

Perry Van Hook (Mastersball): I think there are three ways to deal with the lowball offer (not counting a quick delete). 1) Make an equally ludicrous counter offer; 2) if there is a player you really want on his team that he didn’t offer, reply and say let’s get Manny Machado involved in this trade; 3) reply and tell them you have better offers for your player – it either gets a response worth dealing with or they go away.

Steve Gardner (USAToday Fantasy Sports, @SteveAGardner): After giving it some more thought, I try to counter most offers no matter how ridiculous. Or try to politely tell the other owner I’m not really interested in making a deal right now, assuming I don’t see a logical trade with the personnel we have.

Patrick Davitt (BaseballHQ, @patrickdavitt): When I was younger and got sent a lowball deal, I responded with a line like, “Hey, are you for frigging real?” But now those days are past, I’m not so sure I see; So I reply, and I ask why, the offer works for me. “Help me if you can,” that’s what I say; And “no, I don’t believe in Sonny Gray; Don’t want Royals, that includes Jon Jay; Oh won’t you please, please help me?” The effectiveness of this ploy depends a lot on the age of the guy who sent the offer.

Ray Flowers (Fantasy Guru Elite, @BaseballGuys): I’m constantly shocked at the trade offers I hear people pulled off in their leagues (and there are doozies presented to me as done deals all the time). I don’t get offended if I receive a poor first offer because you never know until you ask. If the offer isn’t to my liking I explain to the person what I’m looking for and then see if we can find a better fit for both of us. Personal example in Tout Wars this year – I presented an available player to an owner and was told, emphatically, that they had zero interest. Meanwhile, another owner came to me to make me an offer for the very same player. You never know who thinks what about which guy, and the only way to find out is to reach out and inquire. If people get offended, well, that’s on them. Besides, there’s little reason for anyone to make their best offer on first approach. That’s just not how negotiations work.

Mike Gianella (Baseball Prospectus, @MikeGianella): I almost never respond to lowball offers. I used to respond to every email but in my experience I’ve found that if someone’s starting point is so far away from my idea of “fair” a deal is never going to happen. I’m not even suggesting that the other fantasy player is operating in bad faith but rather if their idea of value on a player is so radically different than mine we’re never going to come to an accord in this specific instance.

Todd Zola (Mastersball, @toddzola): Real quick to answer Podz, sure, we all value players differently, but we also can recognize an offer designed to be one-sided. I guess it’s like the definition of porn, you know it when you see it. Like Doug, I’m a the point I don’t get these type of offers, but I know they’re out there — my niece sends me texts with some absurd trade offers she gets as well as e-mails and tweets from readers. Anyway, I’ve learned most lowball offers aren’t devious, but from someone that isn’t adept at negotiating. I read it as they want the player targeted in the deal but don’t know where to begin, so I’ll engage and if I can see a counter involving the player, I’ll send it, tilting it my way, at least in my view. More often that not, it’s accepted. If I determine the offer is of the devious variety, I’ll quickly respectfully decline, If they persist, I will ignore them.

Scott Swanay (FantasyBaseballSherpa, @fantasy_sherpa): I like Gene’s approach – if you offer me Ozzie Albies for Mike Trout, I’ll counter by offering Nick Markakis for Bryce Harper. Fortunately, it’s been awhile since I received an offer like that – the last one I can recall involved my being offered Mark Buehrle for Manny Machado, or something similar in an AL-only league.

Fred Zinkie (Years in Tout Wars: 8, @): If the lowball offer includes a player I would like to trade away or a player I would like to acquire, then I will likely make a counter offer or send an email with other ideas. Also, if the offer is accompanied by a short note that explains the owner’s rationale, then I will likely try to work with him. But I like won’t bother to get involved in trade talks if the offer is lopsided and no note is attached. As a related aside, league providers that don’t allow you to send comments with your trade rejections are the worst. I hate having to reject a trade on the league site and then send a separate email to explain my thoughts. And yes, I know that these feelings mean that I’m getting old and grouchy!

Larry Schechter (Winning Fantasy Baseball, @LarrySchechter): I’ve come to realize that many times an offer seems really bad, it may just be an honest difference of opinion. Besides a difference of statistical expectations, value formulas can vary greatly. This year, in fact, I got an offer that I thought was ridiculous. I made a sarcastic comment in reply, and my leaguemate then explained to me that h e honestly had his guys valued much higher than I did. Although it seemed absurd to me, it was just an honest difference of opinion.

Andy Behrens (Yahoo! Fantasy Sports, @andybehrens): I’m so glad we’re finally having a public conversation about Chris Liss. But he’s been peddling trash for so long across so many fantasy leagues that we can’t reasonably expect him to change. It’s clear at this point that Liss is not capable of feeling shame. Still, I’m glad we’ve raised a question that is obviously about him. It’s best to simply mute or block Liss on all social platforms and send his emails to spam. As for other owners who send lowball trade offers, I tend to simply reject without countering if I think we’re starting from a place that can’t easily lead to a balanced deal. I don’t feel the need to lecture anyone about unfair proposals, because there’s almost no benefit to doing so. I find it’s often best to open trade discussions with an email that mentions a few pieces I’m willing to deal and the categories I’m looking to address. If you can take a minute to identify a potential trade partner’s actual needs, that never hurts. Moving from a general discussion to a specific proposal tends to be a successful path.

Lenny Melnick (LennyMelnickFantasySports, @LennyMelnick): Simple… Just ask the trade partner ,”how does this help me?” The answers are usually as amusing as the offer itself

Jeff Erickson (Rotowire, @Jeff_Erickson): As always, it depends on who is making that offer. If it’s an offer from someone less experienced, I’ll be more patient with it. But if it’s in an industry league, I’ll just argue with my co-host on air about why it’s a crap offer and why he doesn’t deserve a counter-offer. Actually, Liss and I ultimately end up doing a lot of trades. Usually, though, I’m in the “an offer is a gift” crowd, and I like to reward the person that put themselves out there to make the offer. That’s way better than the leaguemate that initiates trade talks with me by saying “I’m really interested in getting Gerrit Cole from you, take a look at my roster to see if there’s anything interesting …” and shifting the burden to you to make the offer. Don’t waste my time, basically. Whoever gave the lousy advice to “never make the first offer” deserves to spend an hour being slightly uncomfortable in an outer ring in the circles of heck.

Jeff Erickson (Rotowire, @Jeff_Erickson): Also to Lenny’s response, which was great, some of the worst offers I’ve gotten were in a Scoresheet league with the same owner repeatedly sending miserable offers that came along with three-to-four paragraphs explanations why the deal was so great for me. This was in a keeper format, and this owner always tried to win both the short-term and the long-term of the deal. They were the commishes of this league, too, and would manipulate the league rules to have certain quirks outside of the usual Scoresheet format, all which coincidentally benefitted them the most. Sometimes you have to put someone on the “do not trade with” list and move on.

D.J. Short (Rotoworld, @djshort): In those situations, I usually just reject without explanation or a counter-offer. I usually make a mental note for the future too. If I’m pressed on the offer I rejected, I try to be polite about it even if I find it ridiculous because we might legitimately match up down the road. In theory, anyway.

Scott Pianowski (Yahoo! Fantasy Sports, @Scott_Pianowski): Oh man. How much time do you have? I could write a book on this. Sometimes I’ll say something semi-serious but also snarky, like “would you tell one of your followers to do this deal you just offered me?” Most of the time I’ll just look for common ground. Maybe it’s the players involved who are gumming up the works; perhaps we just need to move off the wrong targets. Obviously it’s a game of opinions. Maybe I’ll ask the other guy to rank something on his roster, or in general. Maybe I’ll throw out something, ranks, an article, anything – that explains my point of view. Sometimes I’ll just vent offline to a friend. But above all else, if nothing else works, if you’re really at a standstill, here’s my best solution – get a co-owner who loves trading, loves the haggling, loves the process. I used to be this guy, and honestly, I’m not any more. I don’t like to have my time wasted. I don’t like needing 37 emails to figure out toppings on a pizza. But in my longtime keeper league, my main man HSG loves the trade game, so I’m the player-eval manager, and he’s the haggler. Works well for us.

Tim McCullough (Rotoexperts, @Tim_Rotoexperts): It really depends on who it’s from, and how well I know them. In Tout Wars, most of the offers I’ve received have been from people I know well, work with, and greatly respect. And the vast majority of the trade offers have been fairly balanced and worthwhile. But there is one person in particular (who shall remain nameless out of respect) who has repeatedly given me lowball offers. Typically, I will dismiss such offers outright and give my reason for doing so. I will also suggest a better deal that benefits both teams as a counteroffer. In addition to lowball offers, this league mate tends to overvalue certain players – usually someone they are trying to trade away. If I think his offer is so lowball that it devalues the game, I typically will send a more balanced trade offer, but I’ve also been known to send a ridiculous offer

Jeff Boggis (Fantasy Football Empire, @JeffBoggis): If you play with certain league managers for many season, not only do you pick up on their draft tendencies, but you also have a feel for their trade offers. For the league managers that have a tendency of low balling their initial trade offers, I simple decline the trade, but I leave the same standard message in the comments box which is “Don’t insult my intelligence”. That usually gets their attention and reduces any back and forth trade negotiations. I have more respect to people that make trade offers that are fair and helps both teams. It shows me that they at least took the time to look at my league roster to see where I could use some help in categories, while at the same time, not taking advantage of the trade.

Michael Rathburn (Rotowire, @FantasyRath): I usually reject it, but will try and follow up to see what exactly they are trying to do. I like it when an owner will reach out first and discuss before making an offer. Sometimes it is not needed or feasible. If you try to get their perspective on the trade and what they want, it does help.

Tout Wars FAAB Report: Week of May 21

Welcome to the weekly Tout Wars FAAB report, on its new home right here on the Tout Wars site. Each week, we’ll review the free agent acquisitions from all five leagues, with commentary from a league member, as well as yours truly. We changed the timing of the weekly run to 1 PM ET every Sunday, with the report posted later that afternoon so you’ll have time to digest and apply to your own leagues. In addition, I’ll be joining Lawr Michaels and Justin Mason on the Tout Wars Hour on the FNTSY Network every Sunday at 3:20 PM ET to discuss the results.

You can find the complete list of Tout Warriors here. Everyone starts with 1000 FAAB units, less any penalty incurred by finishing below a designated point in the standings. This is a means of keeping everyone motivated to keep playing all season long. The minimum bid is $0. FAAB units can be traded as well as rebated for players released off the DL.

The report will list all winning bids along with unsuccessful tries and contingencies. This provides the maximum level of information to help gauge interest on the players.

The American and National League only formats are 12-team leagues, as is the new points-based head to head league, The Mixed Auction and Draft each have 15 clubs. All the leagues have four reserves with an unlimited DL, expect the head to head league, which allows six reserves.

The headings above each league are links to publicly accessible sites where you can see standings, roster and a complete review of transactions. The initial auctions and drafts can be found here.

AMERICAN LEAGUE

SUCCESSFUL BIDS

PLAYER WINNING BID
TKemp, Hou Jason Collette 118 Larry Schechter 38 Rick Wolf/Glenn Colton 36
Lawr Michaels 10
CArroyo, TB Seth Trachtman 92 Rob Leibowitz 67 Chris Liss 38
Larry Schechter 21 Patrick Davitt 3
Seth Trachtman 3 Vlad Sedler 2
Lawr Michaels 2 Rick Wolf/Glenn Colton 1
SGaviglio, Tor Lawr Michaels 77 Jeff Erickson 53 Larry Schechter 32
JCave, Min Rick Wolf/Glenn Colton 36 Jason Collette 18 Chris Liss 15
GAllen, Cle Rick Wolf/Glenn Colton 36 Rick Wolf/Glenn Colton 21
HDozier, KC Seth Trachtman 35 Larry Schechter 22 Rick Wolf/Glenn Colton 1
BRondon, CWS Jeff Erickson 23 Larry Schechter 9 Rick Wolf/Glenn Colton 2
Doug Dennis 0
HSantiago, CWS Jeff Erickson 11
HAlberto, Tex Lawr Michaels 7 Seth Trachtman 0
ASusac, Bal Rob Leibowitz 5
CFrazier, NYY Rob Leibowitz 5 Rick Wolf/Glenn Colton 1 Chris Liss 0
JFry, CWS Larry Schechter 4 Mike Podhorzer 0
BWilson, Min Jeff Erickson 3
DGossett, Oak Rick Wolf/Glenn Colton 2
PKozma, Det Vlad Sedler 2 Seth Trachtman 3 Lawr Michaels 1
JShields, CWS Rick Wolf/Glenn Colton 2 Jeff Erickson 11
ABanda, TB Patrick Davitt 1 Jeff Erickson 11 Rick Wolf/Glenn Colton 2
Seth Trachtman 1
GBeckham, Sea Chris Liss 0 Rick Wolf/Glenn Colton 0
JHolder, NYY Doug Dennis 0
TScott, Bal Mike Podhorzer 0
JAdam, KC Mike Podhorzer 0

UNAWARDED BIDS

PLAYER
RUrena, Tor Vlad Sedler 2
MHermosillo, LAA Rick Wolf/Glenn Colton 2
TraThompson, CWS Rick Wolf/Glenn Colton 1
SLeon, Bos Jeff Erickson 1
JSucre, TB Rob Leibowitz 1
CPerez, Tex Rob Leibowitz 1
CHeadley, FA Rick Wolf/Glenn Colton 1
ARomine, NYY Rob Leibowitz 1
NRamirez, LAA Rick Wolf/Glenn Colton 0 Mike Podhorzer 0
JAxford, Tor Rick Wolf/Glenn Colton 0 Doug Dennis 0
TOlson, Cle Rick Wolf/Glenn Colton 0
TKahnle, NYY Doug Dennis 0
LTrivino, Oak Rick Wolf/Glenn Colton 0
JDiekman, Tex Jeff Erickson 0
JAlvarez, LAA Doug Dennis 0
HHembree, Bos Rick Wolf/Glenn Colton 0
DSmithJr, Tor Rick Wolf/Glenn Colton 0
DAltavilla, Sea Rick Wolf/Glenn Colton 0
CBYoung, LAA Rick Wolf/Glenn Colton 0
CBradford, Sea Doug Dennis 0

Seth Trachtman’s Commentary

The 5-foot-6 Tony Kemp was the big buy this week at $118 to Collette. Not surprisingly, Kemp’s speed faced bid competition from three other owners. Kemp’s opportunities in Houston have been limited over the last two years, but he’s seen some at-bats early on and certainly has the ability to help in on-base percentage and stolen bases if the opportunities continue.

I was one of eight owners to bid on Rays infielder Christian Arroyo, winning him for $92. This addition was all about opportunity. Just like Tampa Bay, my team is in need for at-bats at middle and corner, and Arroyo has a chance to play, with Adeiny Hechavarria on the DL. Arroyo has third base eligibility, but he appeared at shortstop in Durham and started at second base on Saturday. That potential position flexibility adds to his value.

Other significant hitter purchases this week included Greg Allen ($36), Jake Cave ($36), and Hunter Dozier ($35). All have seen recent opportunities due to injuries elsewhere but saw limited interest in this week’s bidding.

Sam Gaviglio was the headliner of the pitcher bidding after a great first start of the season. Michaels won the soft-tosser for $77, outbidding Erickson ($53) and Schechter ($32). Overall, Gaviglio had limited success between Seattle and Kansas City last season, but of his 13 starts, he allowed three earned runs or less in nine of them. The semi-significant bids show the optimism that he could be a nice streaming option in the near future.

Other starters purchased this week included Hector Santiago ($11), James Shields ($2), Daniel Gossett ($2), and Anthony Banda ($1), leaving Dylan Covey and Ariel Jurado as the only remaining probable starters on the waiver wire.

The Bruce Rondon market was also active, despite the relatively low $23 price, with four owners bidding. The hard-thrower is missing plenty of bats, as usual, and earned his first save of the year last Sunday. Even with Nate Jones earning the last two saves for the White Sox, Rondon is certainly a decent speculative addition for Erickson, who doesn’t currently have a closer on his roster.

Todd’s Take

It will be interesting to see how much playing time Kemp receives with J.D. Davis also in the mix. Davis started the season with the defending champs but was sent down after a couple weeks. He’s back, and with Evan Gattis and Marwin Gonzalez not hitting, there’s a lineup opening.

NATIONAL LEAGUE

SUCCESSFUL BIDS

PLAYER WINNING BID
JSoto, Was Lenny Melnick 608 Grey Albright 356 Mike Gianella 336
Steve Gardner 248 Craig Mish 237
Brian Walton 225 Todd Zola 217
Phil Hertz 55
JLyles, SD Phil Hertz 335 Todd Zola 317 Mike Gianella 88
Steve Gardner 59 Tristan H. Cockcroft 22
Brian Walton 14 Derek Carty 11
Grey Albright 6
AMeadows, Pit Todd Zola 217 Lenny Melnick 375 Mike Gianella 186
Brian Walton 125 Tristan H. Cockcroft 112
Todd Zola 77 Scott Wilderman 58
Grey Albright 53 Derek Carty 42
Craig Mish 27
FReyes, SD Mike Gianella 206 Lenny Melnick 225 Mike Gianella 166
Steve Gardner 102 Todd Zola 73
Scott Wilderman 58 Grey Albright 53
Brian Walton 30 Derek Carty 4
Tristan H. Cockcroft 2
GHampson, Col Andy Behrens 62 Grey Albright 2
NCuevas, Col Lenny Melnick 59 Scott Wilderman 2 Grey Albright 2
Scott Wilderman 0 Mike Gianella 0
Derek Carty 0
JChoi, Mil Scott Wilderman 58
DWinkler, Atl Phil Hertz 33 Craig Mish 28 Grey Albright 12
Derek Carty 6
ERamos, Phi Grey Albright 33 Steve Gardner 69 Derek Carty 32
Phil Hertz 17

UNAWARDED BIDS

PLAYER
RRodriguez, Pit Brian Walton 15 Phil Hertz 7
YMunoz, StL Scott Wilderman 15 Mike Gianella 13
MFeliz, Pit Steve Gardner 12 Derek Carty 0
TSaladino, Mil Mike Gianella 8 Scott Wilderman 7 Grey Albright 7
PEvans, NYM Grey Albright 7 Mike Gianella 0
RErlin, SD Tristan H. Cockcroft 2 Phil Hertz 44
MGomez, SF Scott Wilderman 1 Mike Gianella 0
TCruz, Cin Craig Mish 0 Andy Behrens 0
JBandy, Mil Andy Behrens 0
AChafin, Ari Derek Carty 0
TWatson, SF Derek Carty 0
CBuchholz, Ari Phil Hertz 40
EHernandez, Mia Brian Walton 12 Grey Albright 7 Phil Hertz 5
JVargas, NYM Phil Hertz 11 Tristan H. Cockcroft 0
LGarcia, Phi Grey Albright 7
JFields, LAD Grey Albright 6 Phil Hertz 0
LGuillorme, NYM Scott Wilderman 0 Mike Gianella 0
BHoladay, Mia Andy Behrens 0
JValentin, Phi Mike Gianella 0

Brian Walton’s Commentary

Recently I detailed the first-month FAAB spending in the three oldest Tout leagues, noting that here in the NL, just under $2,400, or 21.4 percent of the full-year budgets, was used in April. In this week’s major spendathon, almost $1,700 more, $1,688 to be exact, was deployed on winning bids for the 21 free agents listed in the table above.

Three offensive prospects and a re-born starting pitcher led the way.

The Touts were not sleeping on Sunday call-up Juan Soto. The Washington outfielder, up from Double-A, received the top bid of $608. This came from Lenny Melnick, who not coincidentally earlier Sunday morning traded away Eugenio Suarez and Javier Baez for starting pitching. Two other offers for the 19-year old were in the $300’s and two others in the $200’s. The opportunity in the disappointing Nats outfield is there. It is up to Soto to run with it.

If there was ever a post-hype pitcher, Jordan Lyles is it. The former top prospect of Colorado began the season in San Diego’s bullpen and even after a strong start the week before last, the lefty was ignored in the free agent bidding.  7 1/3 innings of one-hit ball with 10 strikeouts against the Rockies in his second start led to a $335 offer from Phil Hertz of BaseballHQ this time around. Not coincidentally, Hertz is the owner who sent Stephen Strasburg and Zack Greinke to Melnick.

Next in the spending derby was our own Lord Zola, who allocated $217 for new Pirates outfielder Austin Meadows. Regular playing time seems assured – at least as long as Starling Marte’s oblique is bothering him – and we know those injuries can be tricky.

Finally, at “just” $206 is San Diego’s Franmil Reyes. The outfielder was rumored to have come up last Sunday, but the move was not official until Monday. The 22-year old, a physical specimen at 6-foot-5, 240 pounds, is off to a very slow start, with just two singles to go with six strikeouts and no walks in his initial 14 MLB plate appearances. Some patience may be required.

Todd’s Take

It was like a preview of the July trade deadline this week, at least for those of us with limited FAAB resources. For the second time in recent weeks, Phil Hertz cracked my password and knew exactly how much to outbid me. Kidding, of course, but he did out pace my aggressive 317 try for Jordan Lyles by just 18 units. This piece by Craig Edwards on Fangraphs is much of the reason for my interest.

In lieu of Lyles, I opted to go after Austin Meadows, who I ranked higher than Juan Soto and Franil Reyes. I know that may seem against the norm, but recency bias is a powerful force. As a baseball fan, I’m rooting for Soto and Reyes, but the analyst in me relies on history and the examples of hitters of their ilk making a difference right away suggests caution. This doesn’t mean I’m pounding the case of Meadows, just of the three, I like his chances to contribute a little more.

The underlying story to the Hertz and Melnick FAAB bids is a blockbuster deal where Hertz sent Ian Desmond, Eugenio Suarez and Javier Baez to Melnick for Stephen Strasburg, Zack Greinke and Jose Reyes. It’s a great challenge trade, each side addressing needs, putting themselves in a better position to compete than previous to the deal. Kudos, gentlemen.

MIXED LEAGUE AUCTION 

SUCCESSFUL BIDS

PLAYER WINNING BID
JSoto, Was Ray Flowers 412 Brent Hershey 401 Tim McLeod 357
Bret Sayre 315 Fred Zinkie 285
Derek VanRiper 227 Al Melchior 126
Scott Engel 56 Tim Heaney 46
Jeff Zimmerman 31 Joe Pisapia 22
NJones, CWS Scott Swanay 222 Zach Steinhorn 128 Ray Flowers 39
Tim McLeod 32
FReyes, SD Ron Shandler 213
JLyles, SD Derek VanRiper 159 Scott Engel 76 Jeff Zimmerman 74
Tim Heaney 66 Joe Pisapia 55
Tim McLeod 42 Ron Shandler 27
Fred Zinkie 25
DWinkler, Atl Jeff Zimmerman 114 Al Melchior 54 Tim Heaney 26
Brent Hershey 10 Derek VanRiper 7
RStripling, LAD Zach Steinhorn 92 Derek VanRiper 77 Joe Pisapia 55
Ron Shandler 47 Tim McLeod 46
Scott Engel 46 Zach Steinhorn 36
Scott Swanay 28
SDominguez, Phi Scott Swanay 87 Joe Pisapia 77 Tim Heaney 46
Tim McLeod 33 Brent Hershey 26
JDyson, Ari Scott Engel 47 Tim Heaney 26
JChacin, Mil Tim Heaney 46 Zach Steinhorn 38 Scott Engel 29
Zach Steinhorn 16
VGuerreroJr, Tor Tim McLeod 43 Fred Zinkie 13
DDescalso, Ari Ray Flowers 36 Brent Hershey 20 Scott Engel 17
Tim Heaney 2
COwings, Ari Tim Heaney 36
WDifo, Was Tim Heaney 26 Brent Hershey 25 Derek VanRiper 22
GHeredia, Sea Al Melchior 25 Tim McLeod 14
AMeadows, Pit Fred Zinkie 20 Ron Shandler 71
JAnderson, LAA Ray Flowers 17 Scott Swanay 44
ACashner, Bal Jeff Zimmerman 11
IKinerFalefa, Tex Brent Hershey 11
NGoodrum, Det Derek VanRiper 11 Scott Engel 24 Ron Shandler 18
JDDavis, Hou Zach Steinhorn 8
SOh, Tor Tim McLeod 3 Derek VanRiper 7
CRichard, SD Fred Zinkie 0

UNAWARDED BIDS

PLAYER
ERamos, Phi Scott Swanay 87 Ray Flowers 17
FPeralta, Mil Tim Heaney 46 Derek VanRiper 27
DValencia, Bal Ray Flowers 26 Tim Heaney 1
MPrado, Mia Ray Flowers 26
YSanchez, CWS Ray Flowers 26
BGamel, Sea Ron Shandler 18
BRondon, CWS Ray Flowers 17
VMartinez, Det Ron Shandler 7
LBrinson, Mia Ray Flowers 7
MMahtook, Det Ron Shandler 1
GParra, Col Tim Heaney 0
HBader, StL Tim Heaney 0
RFlaherty, Atl Tim Heaney 0
SMiller, Ari Tim Heaney 0

 

Todd’s Take

It’s kind of head-scratching how only one person bid on Franmil Reyes, who seems like the perfect contingency to Juan Soto. Both are emerging prospects, called up to the bigs based on small sample size success in the minors. The Nats need someone to help their playoff run so they’re likely to stick with the 19-year old phenom while the Padres have many bodies to audition for their outfield of the future, so it’s understandable Soto was more highly sought after, but Reyes deserved a little more sloppy seconds attention.

Maybe it’s some confirmation bias since I was in on Arodys Vizcaino as a cheap source of saves, but I keep seeing bids on A.J. Minter and Dan Winkler without concern on my part Vizacaino’s job is in jeopardy. Sure, he’s blown a couple saves, but I did say cheap source – implying he’s not elite, hence vulnerable to a rough outing here and there.

MIXED LEAGUE DRAFT

SUCCESSFUL BIDS

PLAYER WINNING BID
JSoto, Was Scott White 235 D.J. Short 100 Ray Murphy 94
Adam Ronis 62 Rudy Gamble 38
LGohara, Atl Gene McCaffrey 208 Ray Murphy 54 Adam Ronis 28
GHeredia, Sea Perry Van Hook 69
FPeralta, Mil Greg Ambrosius 67
SDominguez, Phi Scott White 63 Gene McCaffrey 78 Ray Murphy 54
ERamos, Phi Michael Beller 63
JLyles, SD Michael Beller 61 Ray Murphy 54 Adam Ronis 16
AMeadows, Pit Tom Kessenich 59 Gene McCaffrey 38 D.J. Short 20
Adam Ronis 12
RStripling, LAD D.J. Short 45 Ray Murphy 24 Rudy Gamble 6
Adam Ronis 1
JDDavis, Hou Ray Murphy 44 Adam Ronis 3
MJoyce, Oak Gene McCaffrey 38
DMengden, Oak Rudy Gamble 38 Adam Ronis 16 Jeff Boggis 6
NGoodrum, Det Rudy Gamble 38 Adam Ronis 2
LGarcia, CWS Ray Murphy 34
FReyes, SD Anthony Perri 32
DWinkler, Atl Scott White 23 Ray Murphy 14 Gene McCaffrey 8
HPerez, Mil Gene McCaffrey 18
BParker, LAA Rudy Gamble 18
JHellickson, Was Adam Ronis 16 Ray Murphy 14 Jeff Boggis 5
Rudy Gamble 1
RYarbrough, TB Ray Murphy 14 Gene McCaffrey 8
BRondon, CWS Ray Murphy 14
JMercer, Pit Greg Ambrosius 5
WFlores, NYM D.J. Short 5
YSanchez, CWS Michael Beller 3
BColon, Tex Perry Van Hook 0

UNAWARDED BIDS

PLAYER
RTepera, Tor Rudy Gamble 18
TKemp, Hou Gene McCaffrey 18
JRickard, Bal Gene McCaffrey 8
JIglesias, Det Greg Ambrosius 4
AEscobar, KC Greg Ambrosius 3
ABanda, TB Rudy Gamble 1
BStewart, LAD Rudy Gamble 1

Perry Van Hook’s Commentary

 

Several Touts with big bids on the table this week. The highest winning bid was for Nationals prospect Juan Soto, just recalled by the big club at $235 to Scott White. Gene McCaffrey also put out two large – $208 for Atlanta pitcher Luis Gohara.

With Phillies OF Aaron Altherr getting fewer at bats and doing less with them I reserved him to add a fresh face and was fortunate to win my first choice, new Mariner center fielder Guillermo Heredia for $69, as in leagues with $1000 FAAB budgets he went for well over one hundred in several. With full time at bats, Heredia can be a solid contributor in all categories.

I was also looking for another starting pitcher and while out bid on Jordan Lyles and Ross Stripling was glad to get a two start week for Bartolo Colon for a zero dollar bid.

Todd’s Take

Maybe I’m misreading the buzz on Franmil Reyes, perhaps it’s a what have you done for me lately scenario and he’s off to a slow start.

Luiz Gohara was a popular pick as he’s in line for a starting gig with the Braves, sooner than later. However, keep in mind he’s slated for a start this week, then he’ll be leaving the club to be with his ailing mom in Brazil. He’s expected to be back a week later, at which point Mike Soroka could be back. At least for now, there’s one spot for the two of them but that can change on a dime.

HEAD-TO-HEAD MIXED AUCTION

SUCCESSFUL BIDS

PLAYER WINNING BID
LGohara, Atl Jake Ciely 117 Paul Sporer 5
JBour, Mia Paul Sporer 111 Justin Mason 87 Kyle Elfrink 66
Andrea LaMont 41 Dr. Roto 21
JSoto, Was Dr. Roto 79 Andrea LaMont 48 Paul Sporer 33
JProfar, Tex Dr. Roto 57 Dr. Roto 56 Peter Kreutzer 11
DSantana, Mil Justin Mason 57 Dr. Roto 40 Andrea LaMont 16
SGreene, Det Kyle Elfrink 57 Andrea LaMont 1
AMeadows, Pit Justin Mason 47 Dr. Roto 5
RErlin, SD Peter Kreutzer 37
ZEflin, Phi Andrea LaMont 32
AOttavino, Col Justin Mason 27 Dr. Roto 11
BColon, Tex Peter Kreutzer 27
JHicks, Det Paul Sporer 24
KFreeland, Col Andrea LaMont 23
JGyorko, StL Dr. Roto 22 Paul Sporer 11
TJankowski, SD Kyle Elfrink 22 Dr. Roto 39 Peter Kreutzer 8
DRobertson, TB Michael Rathburn 18 Peter Kreutzer 18
JCamargo, Atl Peter Kreutzer 18
ROdor, Tex Justin Mason 17
LMorrison, Min Paul Sporer 12 Andrea LaMont 3
KHerrera, KC Dr. Roto 11 Andrea LaMont 0
SDominguez, Phi Paul Sporer 6 Dr. Roto 11 Andrea LaMont 0
CBettis, Col Justin Mason 1
AVizcaino, Atl Andrea LaMont 0

UNAWARDED BIDS

PLAYER
JLyles, SD Andrea LaMont 24
MBoyd, Det Peter Kreutzer 23 Andrea LaMont 3 Justin Mason 1
CPinder, Oak Peter Kreutzer 18
FPeralta, Mil Peter Kreutzer 18
ARussell, ChC Michael Rathburn 10
NGoodrum, Det Peter Kreutzer 8 Peter Kreutzer 2
DDescalso, Ari Paul Sporer 7 Peter Kreutzer 0
ARiley, Atl Dr. Roto 7
JKipnis, Cle Justin Mason 7
WDifo, Was Dr. Roto 2
DFister, Tex Justin Mason 1 Justin Mason 0
OArcia, Mil Dr. Roto 1 Justin Mason 0
CMoran, Pit Paul Sporer 1
MGonzales, Sea Dr. Roto 1
AColome, TB Andrea LaMont 0
BZobrist, ChC Peter Kreutzer 0

Todd’s Take and Commentary

Here’s the difference between a 12 and 15 team league — a player like Bour was available. It’s a matter of risk profile, preferring the floor of Bour versus the ceiling of Soto. Hmm, that’s borderline poetic.

It’s interesting we have a couple of bids on Gohara, but those guys opted not to bid on any of the available starters, especially Lyles and Matthew Boyd.