The Final Period: Tout Daily Picks Tonight!

Four periods are done. Seven Touts have eight tickets to the September 1 Tout Daily Finals at Draft Kings. We can name them: Todd Zola has two tickets. Andrea LaMont, Derek Carty, Howard Bender, Lenny Melnick, Jeff Boggis and Jeff Erickson have one apiece.

Tickets will be awarded to the first and second place finishers in Period 5, and an 11th ticket will be awarded to the tout who scores the most points over the contest’s 20 weeks. Right now Zola has a 50 point lead over Carty for that bonus ticket.

For tonight, we have picks for tonight’s contests at Draft Kings.

MIKE GIANELLA

Top pitcher: James Paxton (12,200)
I generally don’t like running non-Kershaw/Scherzer arms out there over $12K but Paxton has been dominated and gets a nice matchup against the Royals tonight

Top hitter: Mike Trout: ($5,300)
The best hitter in baseball gets a soft matchup against Cotton

CHARLIE WIEGERT

Top pitchers…going on the cheap side again with Jamie Garcia, making his Yankee debut at Cleveland.  This will be bust or boom, as the Indians could pound him and he’ll be gone by the third, or as I’m hoping, he turns in one of those unexpected performances like he did in St. Louis many times.

Top Hitters…stacking Colorado, why not? Reynolds, Arenado, Story and Freeland (although I’ll get 0 points for his hitting). Also hot hitters Upton, Sanchez, Revere and  Altuve.

PHIL HERTZ

I’m going with Madison Bumgarner and Evan Longoria.

JEFF BOGGIS

My top hitter for tonight’s #ToutDaily contest is: Andrew McCutchen ($5,400 OF-PIT) versus San Diego. Andrew McCutchen is hitting .265/.409/.559 with three home runs and nine RBI against Travis Wood in his career, and owns a 1.292 OPS against left-handed pitching this season. There is a 72% chance of rain tonight, so check your lineup prior to 7 PM tonight to make sure that the game is not postponed.

My top pitcher for tonight’s #ToutDaily contest is: Madison Bumgarner ($11,300 SP) versus Arizona. Back from the DL, de was terrific in Sunday’s no-decision against the Dodgers, allowing just five hits and a walk over seven shutout frames.

LAWR MICHAELS

Yu Darvish ($11,100): Darvish has certainly been dominant with 148 strikeouts over 137 frames, allowing just a .225 opposition batting average, and the Mets have not seen much of him.

Elvis Andrus ($4600): Low price tag for a guy with a .290-15-46 line hitting atop the order, but Andrus also gets to face Bartolo Colon, and that should be fun for the entire Rangers team.

RICK WOLF

Kevin Gausman: No pitching in baseball has been hotter in his last three starts except maybe the Klubot.  Kevin Gausman comes with a $4,000+ savings over Paxton or DeGrom. He has struck out 24 hitters in the last three games in only 20 2/3 innings pitched.  He averages 30 DraftKing points a game in those three contests.  That is FILTHY.

Tim Beckham: Love to ride the hot hitters, especially at off positions.  Tim Beckham has an OPS of 1.356 over the past 7 days.  He has settled into the Orioles lineup nicely.  He homered last night and is 7 for 12 with 5 EXB hits since joining the Os.  He will continue that tonight as the implied runs for the Os is greater than five.  Ride the hot hand.  That means two things.

TODD ZOLA

PITCHER Still waffling, especially since I’d love to use Ivan Nova but the weather looks risky. I reserve the right to change my mind, but currently my lean is Madison Bumgarner hosting the DBacks in AT&T. I like using an ace and even though Arizona is dangerous, the park helps a bit.

HITTER Jaime Garcia has done a reasonable job keeping the ball in the yard, but it’s rare finding a top power hitter, with the platoon edge priced as cheaply as Edwin Encarnacion ($4200). My only concern is I don’t like using one-offs against a team with a good bullpen and I’m not sure if I’m going with a full Tribe stack.

GENE McCAFFREY

Pitcher – outstanding Ks continue from Brad Peacock, with a much better than average chance at a Win vs. the Blue Jays.

Hitter – Adrian Beltre is rarely a bad bet; certainly not against what’s left of Bart Colon.

Who’s Picking Whom? Tout Daily Picks for July 28th.

Todd Zola has a huge lead. Andrea LaMont a nice one. Tonight they play the deciding fourth week of Tout Daily. At stake are golden tickets to the two top finishers, entry to the September 1 finals at Draft Kings.

But now, some picks:

PHIL HERTZ

Jose Quintana and Wilmer Flores.

JEFF BOGGIS

My top hitters for tonight’s #ToutDaily contest are: Marwin Gonzalez (HOU – 3B/OF) at Detroit $4,600 and Josh Reddick (HOU – OF) $4,700 at Detroit. Stacking any Houston Astros player makes a lot of sense tonight as they face Jordan Zimmerman and his 5.81 ERA and 1.56 WHIP.

My top pitcher for tonight’s #ToutDaily contest is: Alex Wood (SP-LAD) vs. San Francisco, but he is going to cost you the most to roster a pitcher at $11,700. Look for him to bounce back from his first loss of the season where he allowed 7 earned runs.

LAWR MICHAELS

Jaime Garcia ($6900): I’m a Bay Area guy, and I have some hope for the Athletics future at this point. But as of now, they suck against lefties (righties, too, as a matter of fact) and the first time they face Garcia, I give the advantage to him, especially in a pitcher’s park.

Chris Taylor ($4700): Pretty hard to ignore the smoking hot Taylor (.512-2-9 over his last ten games) facing the completely hittable Matt Moore, who carries a 5.82 ERA with 17 homers and 138 hits allowed over 111.3 innings. Ugh.

RICK WOLF

JOSE ALTUVE – Jose Altuve is the best player of anyone on the road.  He has this incredible slash line .396/.463/.507/1.070 OPS on the road since the beginning of 2016 which is more than a year and a half of absolute domination.  Throw in 46 SBs vs RHP in that time and you have a gem any time he is on the road.

DANNY SALAZAR – Salazar has been red hot including a one hit performance vs the Blue Jays just six days ago.  Salazar came off the DL to immediately make an impact and playing the hapless pale hose makes me salivate for another big win from the Indians.

CHARLIE WIEGERT

Top pitchers…going on the cheap side with two guys with upside; Andrew Cashner at home vs Baltimore and Jeremy Hellickson at home vs Atlanta.  Both are in a good spot to get a W, and could have 8+ strike outs.

Top hitters…with the $ saved on pitching, I can roster some top hitters; Harper, Stanton & Blackmon in the OF, plus hot hitters Contreras, Taylor, Dejong and Donaldson.

MIKE GIANELLA

Top pitcher: Danny Salazar

It’s feast or famine with this guy, but as the Tout Wars web site pointed out last weekend I need a near miracle to qualify despite winning last week. Salazar could flame out but the upside is too much to pass up

Top hitter: Freddie Freeman

He has tailed off post-injury…to the tune of a .315/.383/.562 line in 81 plate appearances. Freeman is a beast, and has a matchup tonight against the second worst starting pitcher in K% among qualifiers

TODD ZOLA

Alex Wood ($11,700): I’m in protect mode, not only for the period but also for the overall points lead. It doesn’t get much safer than Wood at home versus the Giants.

Mookie Betts ($4,600): Though not as potent as last season, returning to Fenway Park after a road trip usually revitalizes the Red Sox offense. Regression has caught up to Vargas, at least in terms of homers, I’ll take Mookie with the platoon edge as one of my more expensive hitters, especially since he’s actually priced down a bit.

Mike Gianella Wins the Week, but Zola and LaMont Shore Up Their Leads.

It’s never a bad thing to win a week in Tout Daily by Draft Kings, but winning the week and still being 50 some odd points out of the money–headed into the Period’s last week–describes Mike Gianella’s situation.

Gianella edged Andrea LaMont and Todd Zola on the week. You can see his roster at left, including two first-rate pitchers.

The problem is that Zola and LaMont were No. 1 and No. 3 after two weeks in the period. While Gianella gained a bit on them, a small bit, they gained on all the other teams in the hunt, namely Steve Gardner and Howard Bender.

Are Zola and LaMont locks? Far from it. It’s too easy in this game to have one’s pitchers go awry and suffer a devastating week to declare winners for Period 4, but if it is isn’t Zola and LaMont for the tickets, it will be because they failed.

Andrea LaMont takes Period 4 Tout Daily Lead!

Andrea LaMont won the first week of Tout Daily Period 4 by the slimmest of margins, riding a fine start by Zach Greinke and big nights from some stud hitters, including Freddie Freeman, Francisco Lindor, Giancarlo Stanton, and Roughned Odor.

Still, she topped Howard Bender (James Paxton, Lindor, Nolan Arenado and Seth Smith) by 1.4 points; Steve Gardner (Dan Straily, Jesus Aguilar, DJ LeMahieu, Arenado, and Nelson Cruz) by 4.1 points and Derek Carty (Paxton, Jason Kipnis, Lindor, Arenado, and Michael Brantley) by 9.05.

Todd Zola finished fifth for the the week, and is one of three Top 5 finishers this week who already have tickets to the finals. The others are Howard Bender and Derek Carty.

You can see the whole leaderboard here.

The Touts will gather next Friday, July 14, for Week 2 of Period 4. See you then!

It’s Friday. Must be Tout Daily Picks!

Period 4 of Tout Daily by Draft Kings starts tonight. All teams start fresh. The top 2 finishers after four weeks will win tickets to the finals on September 1.

Here are their picks:

PHIL HERTZ

I’m recommending James Paxton at home against the A’s and Jose Abreu at Coors.

JEFF BOGGIS @JeffBoggis

Max Scherzer (WAS) $13,200 vs. Atlanta Braves – The highest salaried pitcher tonight, but I can build a team around him. He is money for 10+ K’s and 7-8 innings pitched. He faces a mediocre Atlanta Braves team at home tonight. Roster Max Scherzer tonight if you want to beat Lawr Michaels in period 4, week 1 of our Tout Wars DFS contest! #BeatLawr

Aaron Judge (NYY) $5,600 vs. Milwaukee Brewers – He is coming off back to back home run games on 7/4 and 7/5, and is well rested after the Yankees had the day off yesterday. I like the matchup against Junior Guerra and his 4.93 ERA and 1.60 WHIP. Roster Aaron Judge tonight if you want to beat Lawr Michaels in period 4, week 1 of our Tout Wars DFS contest! #BeatLawr

GENE MCCAFFREY

Pitcher – James Paxton has been erratic since his return but is in a great matchup at home against the strikeout-prone A’s, and reasonably priced.

Hitter – Wilson Ramos has picked up right where he left off in 2016, which was a 1.008 OPS vs. lefties.

CHARLIE WIEGERT

Top Pitchers…Going out on a limb and taking R.A. Dickey at Washington and against Max Scherzer.  I might the only tout taken him tonight.  Dickey has pitched well the last three times out, and if the knuckler is dancing in Washington, he might just win.  Also taken Carlos Martinez, who would like to make up for his last horrific start and pitch a gem heading into the All Star game…but a tough match-up against DeGrom!

Top Hitters…the Dickey selection saved me the dollars to afford Gary Sanchez, Paul Goldschmidt, Jose Altuve and Nolan Arenado, an all star infield and great lineup for any fantasy team, but it always doesn’t work out in Daily!  We’ll see!

RICK WOLF

Cole Hamels —  Hamels is coming off his best start of the season, and faces an Angels team in which he has recorded five of six quality starts with a 2.93 lifetime ERA against.  That includes one run off four hits vs them back in April.

Daniel Murphy— Murphy is 4-6 with two homers lifetime vs Dickey.  Murphy is keeping pace with his career high .347 average last season by hitting .340 so far this year.  Six of his eleven hits vs the Braves this year have gone for extra bases.

Who Will Win Period Three? Tout Wars Daily Tonight! With picks.

Jeff Erickson has the lead, a slim one.

Derek Carty has a ticket to the finals, and a bead on a second one.

Vlad Sedler hasn’t finished in the Top Five in any of this period’s three weeks, but is in third position, ahead of Derek VanRiper, Michael Beller, Ray Murphy, and let’s leave it at that, though Scott Pianowski, Steve Gardner and others are not out of it quite yet.

You can study the leaderboard right here. 

If you’re moved to try out Draft Kings, who are hosting Tout Daily this year, they have a special offer for new signups. Deposit $5 and gain free entry to a $3 contest. Click here to for more details and how to sign up.

Here are the picks from this week’s Touts:

LAWR MICHAELS

Sonny Gray ($8400): The trick for me today is picking players whom I both think will succeed, and those ideally no one else will take as I am 70 points off the pace, meaning I need a day like Jeff had last week. Gray has put up positive numbers his last five starts, and is coming off his best start since returning from the DL, going seven innings, allowing just a run while whiffing seven, and if he can keep his pitches down facing the Braves Friday should be a Gray day all around.

Alex Bregman ($3400): Bregman and his mates face the up-and-down Pineda, but against the Pinstripes, the Astro third sacker has averaged 4.25 points, and at home, facing a guy who allowed seven runs last start is a balance between the points I think Bregman can put up coupled with the hope no one else grabs Bregman for their team, balanced with the the idea that he has a big day at the dish..

PHIL HERTZ

Right now, Jacob deGrom is as good as any pitcher in baseball. He’s expensive, but the Phils are not exactly knocking the cover off the ball. I also think Stephen Drew is a sneaky value, since he’s likely going to start with Trea Turner out.

GENE MCCAFFREY

Having been wrong every Friday night so far, perhaps you’ll take my picks and go the opposite way. Perhaps I will. If not, I’m taking Mike Foltynewicz in Oakland against a team with 25.3% K’s, and I’m embracing Miguel Cabrera at $3900 because he’s coming around and someone is going to pay and Josh Tomlin is a likely bill-footer.

ROB LEIBOWITZ

Jacob Faria – $8,300 vs. Orioles – Pitching over his head, but hard to argue with that K/BB and overall strikeout rate at this price point.

Justin Smoak – $4,300 vs. Bos (Fister) – I like a match up of a declining pitch to contact pitcher vs. a lefty in the middle of a breakout season, especially at this price point.

Hunter Renfroe – $3,300 vs. LAD (Wood) – I was looking for lost cost options to balance out my spending. Went with a righty vs. lefty matchup in Renfroe who despite his very mediocre production, has still produced for power and has excellent splits against lefties. Hitting over .300, walking 12% of the time, making contact 87% of the time, and an isolated power of .311 (.229 at home). Wood though has handled righties better than lefties , so we’ll cross our fingers and see what happens.

CHARLIE WIEGERT

Top pitchers…going heavy on two pricey ones for tonight, Jacob Degrom and Robbie Ray.  both in good situations to get strikeouts and wins.

Top hitters…well with the top $ pitchers, picken’s are slim!  Most expensive guy is Scooter Gennett…Ouch.  I’m hoping to find lightning in a bottle with Hwang, Polanco, Puig, Molina and Grichuk.

DEREK CARTY

I’d kindly request that baseball acts normally tonight.  A repeat of last week’s shenanigans would not be appreciated.

JEFF ERICKSON

Keep Tout Daily Weird!

JEFF BOGGIS

Lance McCullers (HOU) $8,800 vs. New York Yankees – McCullers is the 7th ranked starting pitcher tonight on DraftKings and is priced just right. McCullers has not lost a game since April 26th and has recorded 4 games in a row with 8 strikeouts per game. Roster Lance McCullers tonight if you want to beat Lawr Michaels in period 3, week 4 of our Tout Wars DFS contest! #BeatLawr

Jonathan Villar (MIL) $4,100 versus Miami – Fresh off the DL, Villar hit 2 home runs last night. His salary is still depressed as the 11th highest 2nd baseman. He faces Edison Volquez and his 1.43 WHIP. Look for Villar to get back in the stolen base column in tonight’s matchup. Any extra base hits will be a bonus. Roster Jonathan Villar tonight if you want to beat Lawr Michaels in period 3, week 4 of our Tout Wars DFS contest! #BeatLawr

JEFF ERICKSON

UPDATE: Jeff wrote in at about 6pm ET: FYI I’m backing off of Miggy and deGrom because of the weather.

Pitcher: Sonny Gray has been striking out more batters lately, and I like the idea of attacking the Braves when they are on the road. I’ll pair him with one of the more expensive options on the slate – probably Jacob deGrom, though I might pivot down to Alex Wood for cash savings.

Batter: Going to go with at least a few Rays against Chris Tillman, and Miggy Cabrera against Josh Tomlin.

 

Week 3 Period 3 Tout Wars Daily Roundup, with Picks!

Entering week 3 of the contest hosted by Draft Kings, Derek Carty (who already has a ticket to the September 1 finals, has a strong 39 point lead. He’s the only Tout to finish in the Top 5 each of the period’s first two weeks.

In second place is Vlad Sedler, closely followed by Jeff Boggis, Andrea LaMont and Todd Zola. Zola has another of the four tickets to the final handed out so far.

Some of the Tout sent in pick for tonight’s contest.

LAWR MICHAELS

Jimmy Nelson ($8500): Despite a price-tag increase of $1700 from last week to this, Nelson has been so solid, coming off a 10-whiff complete game shutout at the hands of the Padres. The Braves are tougher, but young, and another team Nelson can exploit.

Steven Souza ($4200): Souza has been beyond steady, averaging 8.8 points per game, and going up against Ubaldo Jimenez and his 6.25 ERA and 1.50 WHIP with 14 homers allowed over 63.3 frames.

PHIL HERTZ

I like Seth Lugo‘s price, especially given the Giants were playing past 12:30 am this morning in Atlanta.  I also like Yoenis Cespedes to have a big game against a lefty.

JEFF BOGGIS

2017 Tout Daily – Top Pitchers and Hitters

Stephen Strasburg (WAS) $11,700 vs. Cincinnati – Strasburg is always good for a lot of strikeouts, and is 8-2 on the season. He has 4 games this season with 10+ strikeouts per game. Roster Stephen Strasburg tonight if you want to beat Lawr Michaels in period 3, week 3 of our Tout Wars DFS contest! #BeatLawr

Andrew McCutchen (PIT) $4,500 at St. Louis – McCutchen faces starting pitcher Adam Wainwright tonight. Over his career against Wainwright, McCutchen is batting .298 with 2 home runs and 8 RBI. Over the past 14 days, McCutchen is batting .444 with 5 home runs and 14 RBI. Roster Andrew McCutchen tonight if you want to beat Lawr Michaels in period 3, week 3 of our Tout Wars DFS contest! #BeatLawr

Jeff Boggis (Fantasy Football Empire) @JeffBoggis

TIM HEANEY

J.A. Happ ($8,000) at KC: If you want to play the midrange SP ploy tonight, choose the lefty at pitcher-friendly Kauffman Stadium.

Corey Dickerson ($4,700) vs. BAL: Ubaldo Jimenez is starting for the O’s. Talk about fuel for a big night for the surprise AL fantasy MVP candidate.

CHARLIE WIEGERT

Top Pitchers…savings some $ with Ty Blach and Trevor Bauer.  Blach should dominate a weak Met line-up pitching at home, and Bauer should do well at home against the scuffling Twins.

Top hitters…mini stack with Goldschmidt, Lamb and Peralta at home vs Leiter, going hot hitters in Sal Perez and Bellinger, and budget picks Diaz & Kinsler.

The Touts Tout Tonight’s Tout Daily Picks from Draft Kings!

Period 3 Week 2.

Here are the Tout’s picks (a raw dump this time, because time is short):

LAWR MICHAELS

Joe Biagini ($6900): Coming off a pair of pretty good starts over which he went seven innings each time, the Jays righty faces a White Sox team that is in the middle of the pack with respect to efficiency against right-handers. The Sox have some weapons, but I am guessing Biagini can pull off a quality start.

Jose Ramirez ($4000): Switch-hitting Ramirez, who is under-valued, faces Nik Turley, a lefty who has made one start, allowing eight hits and four runs over four innings.

GENE MCCAFFREY

Pitcher – A very tough slate with several good but no great choices. I’m inclined to go cheaper with two lefties at home, Steven Matz and Sean Manaea. Both have been sharp lately although both face tough lineups. Oh well, they always told me that good pitching beats good hitting. That’s not really true but dominant pitching does.

Hitter – Another tough call with an abundance of excellent possibilities even for a Friday. Pay up for Nolan Arenado against Samardzija and a depleted Giant bullpen. Arenado’s numbers are about to get that summer boost that Coors Field always provides.

BRIAN WALTON

While many will be loading up on a strong SP1 in Max Scherzer ($12,900), I am instead using the money on hitting and leading my starters with Alex Wood ($9100). Wood, who is striking out 11.2 batters per nine to go with a 2.01 ERA this season, draws the struggling Reds at Dodger Stadium on Friday night.

Getting Miguel Cabrera for just $3800 is a bargain I just cannot pass up. Detroit’s first sacker drew a lot of attention with his four doubles and a home run on Thursday, but also had multiple hits in his three prior contests. Rays starter Erasmo Ramirez could be in for a long night.

PHIL HERTZ

I’m going with Carlos Martinez against the struggling O’s and Brandon Crawford at Coors.

JEFF BOGGIS

Luis Severino (NYY) $11,500 at Oakland – There are much better starting pitcher choices tonight versus last Friday night. He’s not cheap at $11,500, making him the 2nd highest salaried starting pitcher in tonight’s contest. In his last 5 starts, Severino has posted either 7 or 8 strikeouts per game, and has won 3 out of his last 5. He’s going deep in games, averaging 7 IP per game over his last 5 starts. He travels to Oakland and takes on a weak A’s roster tonight. In Severino’s last 5 games, he’s averaged only 1 earned run per game. Roster Luis Severino tonight if you want to beat Lawr Michaels in period 3, week 2 of our Tout Wars DFS contest! #BeatLawr

Aaron Judge (NYY) $5,000 at Oakland – Over the past 2 weeks, Judge is the hottest hitter in baseball with 17 runs scored, 5 home runs, 11 RBI, 2 stolen bases, and a .365 batting average. Judge will face left-handed pitcher Sean Manaea tonight. Judge is batting .341 with 4 home runs and 9 RBI against left-handed pitching this season. Roster Aaron Judge tonight if you want to beat Lawr Michaels in period 3, week 2 of our Tout Wars DFS contest! #BeatLawr